Friday, March 31, 2023

Is a housing crisis underway? Why crypto investors should care

Cointelegraph analyst and writer Marcel Pechman explains if there is a housing crisis underway and why crypto investors should be paying attention.

The show Macro Markets, hosted by crypto analyst Marcel Pechman, which airs every Friday at 12 pm ET on the Cointelegraph Markets & Research YouTube channel, explains complex concepts in layman’s terms and focuses on the cause and effect of traditional financial events on the day-to-day crypto activity.

In today’s episode, Pechman discusses the housing crisis, especially after the United States Case–Shiller Index dropped for the seventh straight month. Increased mortgage rates certainly played a part, considering 15-year financing rose to 5.6% from 3.7% in March 2022. 

However, Pechman explains why commercial properties represent a much more immediate risk, as business rapidly decreases during recessions. Moreover, corporate layoffs usually cause a cascading effect as fewer companies compete for commercial properties.

At the same time, delinquency naturally increases as businesses are forced to refinance their debt at a much higher cost. The video explains how the commercial property crisis could spill into regional banks and cites two multibillion-dollar defaults that occurred over the past couple of months.

During a brief recap, Pechman explains how cryptocurrencies relate to the housing market and why the sector does not provide reliable inflation protection.

The Macro Markets’ next segment focuses on the France–China liquid natural gas (LNG) trade settled directly in yuans, bypassing the U.S. dollar as a global settlement layer. However, Pechman points out how inefficient and unreliable this system is, as commercial banks and companies based in France are not allowed to carry yuans.

The show concludes by showing how Bitcoin (BTC) and cryptocurrencies resemble broader commodities trading, as most of its volume happens in USD. Thus, even if a small part of the trade goes through other currencies, the USD markets retain the indicative price rates.

If you are looking for exclusive and valuable content provided by leading crypto analysts and experts, make sure to subscribe to the Cointelegraph Markets & Research YouTube channel. Join us at Macro Markets every Friday at 12:00 pm ET.



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Crypto news site The Block gets new CEO and reported staff layoffs following admitted ties to SBF

The Block reportedly laid off roughly 33% of its staff including interim CEO Bobby Moran in an effort to stabilize the platform following loans it received from Sam Bankman-Fried.

Larry Cermak, vice president of research at The Block, has announced that he will be taking the reins at the crypto and blockchain news website from interim chief executive officer Bobby Moran — the second change in leadership since reports surfaced that former CEO Mike McCaffrey financed the platform through loans from Alameda Research. 

In a March 31 tweet, Cermak said he would be stepping up as CEO after roughly five years at the crypto news site. Axios also reported that The Block laid off roughly 33% of its staff — including Moran — in an effort to stabilize the platform following the controversial loans it received from former FTX and Alameda Research founder Sam Bankman-Fried.

"We are not immune to the contraction of the crypto market, and the economy more broadly," the company reportedly said. "We grew too quickly to capitalize on a bull market in crypto. Now, we must shift our strategy and recalibrate our teams to align with the reality of the current market."

In December 2022, Moran revealed that McCaffrey had used two loans totaling $27 million from Alameda in 2021 in his efforts to restructure the crypto news site. McCaffrey failed to disclose the loans to The Block’s leadership team, a move which led to his resignation as CEO. The Block’s editor-at-large Frank Chaparro, who previously referred to McCaffrey as “literal scum” who betrayed the platform’s staff, lauded Cermak’s advancement to CEO, saying the site was “returning to our crypto native roots”.

Cermak reportedly said he had received no direction from McCaffrey to cover stories about FTX or Bankman-Fried “in any particular way,” despite the platform’s financial ties. All of the news stories on the website include a disclaimer with details about the loans from SBF.

Related: FTX presentation shows ‘massive shortfall’ in firm’s assets

Since FTX filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy on Nov. 11, many news outlets, lawmakers, and organizations reported financials ties to the defunct crypto exchange or directly to Bankman-Fried. The firm’s leadership announced in February that it planned to recover all political donations, reporting in March a research team had determined there had been roughly $25 million as of November 2022.

Magazine: Can you trust crypto exchanges after the collapse of FTX?



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US government plans to sell 41K Bitcoin connected to Silk Road

On March 14, 2023, the government sold 9,861 BTC for $215.7 million, according to court documents filed on March 31.

The United States government plans to liquidate more than 41,000 Bitcoin seized as part of the case against Silk Road creator Ross Ulbricht.

A March 31 filing with U.S. District Court for the Southern District of New York regarding the case against James Zhong said U.S. government authorities had begun liquidating roughly 51,352 Bitcoin (BTC) seized in the Ulbricht case. According to the filing, officials sold roughly 9,861 BTC for more than $215 million on March 14, leaving roughly 41,491 BTC.

"The Government understands [the Bitcoin] is expected to be liquidated in four more batches over the course of this calendar year," said the court filing.

This is a developing story, and further information will be added as it becomes available.



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Solana overcomes FTX fiasco — SOL price gains 100% in Q1

The cryptocurrency market may have overreacted to Solana's FTX links and its tainted boss Sam Bankman-Fried.

The price of Solana (SOL) fell nearly 95% in 2022, partly due to its association with tainted crypto entrepreneur Sam Bankman-Fried and his collapsed ventures FTX and Alameda Research. But so far in 2023, things have improved for the SOL price.

Solana price doubles in Q1/2023

Solana's price has risen 104% to around $20.60 per SOL in the first quarter of 2023, the highest gains compared to any cryptocurrency in the top-25, including Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH).

Solana beats top-ranking assets' Q1/2023 returns. Source: Messari

In fact, January was Solana's best month since August 2021 in terms of price performance.

SOL price rallied by about 140% in it, without any major fundamentals that could have driven the rates up. Nonetheless, the SOL/USD pair became excessively oversold in December 2022, which may have influenced traders to buy the dip

The rally also coincided with Messari's analysis of the Solana ecosystem after the FTX collapse, showing its staking and decentralization was stable and actually improved its position after the FTX fiasco.

"Solana will continue to release a multitude of initiatives, including network upgrades, ecosystem developments, and community efforts, to name a few," wrote James Stautman, researcher at Messari, adding:

"After a tumultuous year fraught with one challenge after another, light appears to be at the end of the tunnel heading into 2023."

In other words, the market may have overreacted to Solana's ties with Sam Bankman-Fried in Q4 of last year, resulting in a sharp rebound.

What's next for SOL price?

Solana underperformed the broader crypto market in February and March, after SOL's January spike left it technically overbought.

Related: Solana plans to improve its blockchain: Here’s how

Solana price lost about 40% from the January peak. Its market dominance (SOL.D) also dropped from 0.98% in January to 0.69% in March, suggesting that traders rotated capital elsewhere. 

SOL.D monthly price chart. Source: TradingView

Nevertheless, as of March 31, Solana trades above two technical support levels: a horizontal trendline that has capped SOL's downside attempts mostly throughout Q1/2023 and an ascending trendline that served as backup support in early March when the horizontal one failed.  

These two support levels have converged. Therefore, SOL/USD now eyes a short term bounce from there toward a multi-month support/resistance flip level around $26.50, as shown below. 

SOL/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

That leaves Solana with a 30% upside prospects in April. Conversely, a drop below the two support levels could have SOL price retest its March low of $16 as the next downside target.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.



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Bitcoin price hits $28.5K on PCE data as macro 'accumulation zone' ends

Bitcoin is up $1,000 on the day as bets on $30,000 hitting soon reappear in advance of the BTC price monthly close.

Bitcoin (BTC) recovered recent losses at the March 31 Wall Street open as traders looked for a strong monthly close.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

PCE delights risk assets as with BTC price up $1,000

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD heading to $28,556 on Bitstamp after the opening bell, up $1,000 from the day's lows.

The fresh gains followed encouraging macroeconomic data from the United States, with the February Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index modestly beating expectations in some areas.

"We are making progress in the fight against inflation," an official White House statement about the PCE numbers read.

"Today’s report shows annual inflation down by nearly 30 percent from this summer, against a backdrop of low unemployment and steady growth."

With inflation sticky yet seemingly not troubling markets, these appeared to increase bets on Federal Reserve interest rate hikes pausing in May, data from CME Group's FedWatch Tool showed.

Risk assets thus traded higher in anticipation. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite Index were both up around 0.5% higher at the time of writing.

Fed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME Group

Related: US enforcement agencies are turning up the heat on crypto-related crime

The mood around Bitcoin was equally buoyant, countering reservations among some traders who had warned of a significant retracement at or near the monthly close.

To the upside, data from monitoring resource Material Indicators showed the bulk of ask liquidity stacked at $29,000 prior to the PCE release.

BTC/USD order book data (Binance). Source: Material Indicators/ Twitter

Popular trader Crypto Tony entertained the idea of Bitcoin hitting $30,000 in the short term, price having held a key support level at $27,700.

Analytics account Skew meanwhile argued that spot buying pressure needed to hold to preserve current levels above $28,000.

Bitcoin "leaving" buy the dip territory

Moving to higher timeframes, optimism was no less in evidence.

Related: BTC price to $22K? Watch these key levels into Bitcoin monthly close

"Bitcoin is leaving another accumulation zone!" Caleb Franzen, senior market analyst at Cubic Analytics, announced on the day.

"Bitcoin's 24-month Williams%R Oscillator is set to close above the 'oversold' threshold for March, which has marked an end to prior bear markets. Bullish long-term probabilities are improving, so long as we stay above the lower-bound."

Franzen had previously covered the evolving status quo for the Bitcoin Williams %R oscillator across various timeframes as the 2023 uptrend began.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Caleb Franzen/ Twitter

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.



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Thursday, March 30, 2023

Gnosis launches Hashi bridge aggregator to help prevent hacks

Bridge protocols LayerZero, Celer, Wormhole, LiFi, and others have already committed to implementing the new protocol.

Gnosis, the team behind Gnosis Safe multi-sig and Gnosis Chain, has launched a hash oracle aggregator for blockchain bridges, according to an announcement from the company. In a conversation with Cointelegraph, Gnosis CEO Martin Köppelmann stated that the new aggregator should make bridges more secure by requiring more than one bridge to validate a withdrawal before it can be confirmed.

Multiple bridge protocols have already committed to integrating with Hashi, including Succinct Labs, DendrETH, ZK Collective, Connext, Celer, LayerZero, Axiom, Wormhole and LI.FI, according to the announcement. 

Over $2 billion was stolen from bridges in 2021 and 2022, according to a report by Token Terminal. Bugs in the code have caused some bridge hacks, whereas others have been caused by the attacker taking over a multi-sig governance wallet.

According to Köppelmann, Hashi can provide the first step towards making these cross-chain transactions more secure throughout the blockchain ecosystem, by requiring withdrawals to be validated by multiple bridges instead of just one:

Hashi is about essentially creating this aggregator that can use different bridges and basically say they all need to agree to the same message [...] If they do, great, then we can be really, really certain that this message is actually real and if they disagree [...] Then we know we need to escalate to governance, we need to halt the bridge.

Köppelmann also emphasized that Hashi helps to prevent multi-sig governance attacks because it allows a protocol to prevent governance from intervening if there is no disagreement between individual bridges.

“Here you can have this nice tradeoff where you say ‘the governance is not allowed to do anything,’ so it cannot interfere with the system unless there is explicitly a conflict or a bug," he explained. "So as soon as those bridges that are supposed to report on the same thing [...] Disagree, well then governance is allowed to interfere, otherwise governance has no role. That’s Hashi.”

Related: Uniswap’s BNB deployment should use multiple bridges, claims LIFI CEO

Hashi is open source and available on GitHub.

The idea of a multi-bridge aggregator rose to prominence during the Uniswap bridge debate in December and January. Although Wormhole was ultimately chosen as Uniswap’s bridge provider, representatives from Celer, LiFi, and deBridge, as well as other participants concluded that a multi-bridge aggregation solution needed to be implemented going forward.



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Terra co-founder Do Kwon's jail time in Montenegro will be harsh: Report

Now in custody in Montenegro, Do Kwon could be facing "at least a year" behind bars as the country considers extradition requests, according to one criminal defense lawyer.

Do Kwon, currently in custody in Montenegro and potentially awaiting extradition to the United States or South Korea, will reportedly face harsh conditions in the country’s penal system.

According to a March 29 Protos report, an unnamed criminal defense lawyer said conditions at Montenegro’s jails and prisons “haven’t changed” from those described in a 2020 human rights report from the U.S. State Department. The report cited a case in which prison officers had been convicted of torturing and “inflicting grievous bodily harm” on 11 inmates in 2015, as well as other “poor” conditions in some of Montenegro’s prisons due to overcrowding and lack of medical care.

Citing reports from the Council of Europe’s Committee for the Prevention of Torture, the State Department said many prisoners had been confined to overcrowded cells for roughly 23 hours a day, with some reports of violence between inmates. Kwon could be facing “at least a year” in such conditions as Montenegro considers extradition requests, depending on the outcome of his criminal case over allegedly forged travel documents.

“Rooms are 8 meters squared and very crowded,” the lawyer reportedly said. “There’s about 10 to 11 people in a room — there’s usually not even a bed.“

This is a developing story, and further information will be added as it becomes available.



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Kraken aims for restricted dealer registration in Canada to comply with new rules

In February, Canadian Securities Administrators announced enhanced investor protection requirements for crypto asset traders.

Crypto exchange Kraken has filed a preregistration undertaking with the Ontario Securities Commission in Canada seeking restricted dealer status. United States-based Kraken is already active in Canada and is acting to comply with the new guidance.

Kraken is registered in Canada as a money services business and has been operating there for over 10 years. The Canadian Securities Administrators (CSA) implemented new guidance for crypto asset trading platforms on Feb. 22, requiring Kraken to file a preregistration undertaking legally committing it to observe new investor protections.

The new requirements for crypto trading platforms will be subject to include new custody standards, restrictions on the use of leverage and a ban on trading stablecoins without prior written consent from the CSA. Kraken managing director for Canada Mark Greenberg said:

“We want both existing and prospective clients to know Kraken remains committed to Canada.”

Restricted dealer registration is “a special kind of dealing registration used for firms that do not quite fit under any other category” under CSA definitions. Regulators tailor requirements for firms with this status individually.

Cryptocurrency exchange OKX announced on March 20 that it would stop providing service to Canadian customers within three months due to “new regulations.” OKX added that its withdrawal from the country was temporary and it was working with regulators.

Related: G7 to collaborate on tighter crypto regulation: Report

The CSA is the umbrella organization for Canada’s 13 regional securities regulators. There is no federal Canadian regulator. Registration by one CSA member provides a so-called “passport” for firms doing business in other provinces or territories.

In February, Kraken paid $30 million in penalties and disgorgement in the United States after the Securities and Exchange Commission charged it with failing to register its staking-as-a-service program as a security. Kraken said at the time that it would continue to offer its staking program to non-U.S. customers.

Magazine: Best and worst countries for crypto taxes — Plus crypto tax tips



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Bitcoin profits are taxable in certain cases, says Denmark’s supreme court

The country’s supreme court released two decisions for cases in which different crypto users gained profits from sales of BTC “made for the purpose of speculation” and mining.

The Justices of the Supreme Court of Denmark have handed down two judgements on whether the sale of Bitcoin (BTC) under certain circumstances qualifies as a taxable event.

In a March 30 notice, Denmark’s Supreme Court said a party who gained profits from selling Bitcoin acquired through several purchases and donations was required to report the sale as a taxable event, adding the purchase was “made for the purpose of speculation.” In a separate case, the court ruled a user who mined their own BTC and later sold the coins would be subject to the same tax consideration.

Both cases considered by the supreme court involved the acquisition of BTC between 2011 and 2013, with sales between 2017 and 2018, suggesting a price difference in the thousands of dollars. The court cited sections of the country’s National Tax Act, noting it had considered the first seller’s intent to eventually sell the coins based on a post in a 2011 Bitcoin forum.

“The Supreme Court finds that the received Bitcoins must be considered assets acquired with a view to later turnover as an integrated part of [the first party]’s business with the development and operation of software for Bitcoins,” said the ruling. “They cannot be considered at the time of sale to have been transferred to be [their] private property or assets. On that basis, the Supreme Court finds that the relinquishment of the Bitcoins received constituted revenue in [their] non-commercial business. Sales therefore trigger tax liability.”

Related: What is crypto tax-loss harvesting, and how does it work?

Coincub reported in September 2022 that gains earned from crypto in Denmark could incur a tax rate of roughly 37% but also up to 52% depending on whether the user has a high income. This would place the country well above crypto tax rates in the United States subject to its capital gains laws — between 0% and 37% depending on whether the taxpayer sells assets held for more or less than a year and their income bracket.

Magazine: Best and worst countries for crypto taxes — Plus crypto tax tips



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Wednesday, March 29, 2023

Bitcoin mining stocks underwhelm in March, but brighter days could be around the corner

In March mining stocks increased at a slower pace compared to BTC, amid macroeconomic uncertainty and increasing competition among Bitcoin miners.

Bitcoin mining stocks had a dull performance in March, with small moves here and there that followed BTC's price movement. While it is encouraging to see that most stocks held onto their impressive January gains, Bitcoin's price action will be crucial for the short-to-medium-term performance of these stocks.

Additionally, the expansion of the public Bitcoin mining sector in the U.S. continues as American miners reported one of the biggest ASIC imports in January 2023. The delivery of new machines and an increase in the BTC price led to a surge in the network's hashrate to new all-time highs. Miners' incomes, however, are subdued by the rising network difficulty.

Mining stocks are in wait-and-see mode

Despite Bitcoin’s recent 18% rally, subdued performances of most mining stocks can be attributed to the uncertainty around the sustainability of Bitcoin’s price rally and the increasing competition in the mining industry. The Hashrate Index, a proxy for Bitcoin mining stocks, increased 10% in March from 1,929 to 2,141 points.

The median monthly gain in the top ten mining stocks is 0.30%, with an average of 5.21%. Riot Platforms and Cipher Mining led the monthly gains across the sector with a 28.64% and 24.34% rise. CleanSpark, Inc. and Bitfarms Ltd. were the worst performers, with negative 6.52% and 5.79% moves.

The performance of the top ten Bitcoin mining stocks as of March 28.

The average Q1 2023 gains across the top ten Bitcoin mining stocks is 128%. These shares yielded the majority of their Q1 2023 gains in January. The following months, February and March, saw a muted performance from most mining company stocks.

The chart of Marathon Digital’s stock perfectly illustrates the price action across the industry, with a tall candle in January, followed by small moves in the next couple of months.

MARA/USD monthly price chart. Source: TradingView

Currently, mining firms are focused on expanding and sustaining their operations rather than profits. Marathon Digital increased its mining capacity by 30% in February. The firm’s aggressive expansion will increase its production capacity from 9.5 EH/s to 23 EH/s by mid-2023.

At the same time, Canadian mining firm Hut 8 Mining Corporations announced a merger with the U.S.-based Bitcoin Corp to combine their resources and weather the downturn across the industry.

The network’s hashrate soared as new ASICs flood the market

The Bitcoin network’s hashrate increased to an all-time high of 348 exahash per second (EH/s) from 320 EH/s in the last week of March.

The revenue of miners jumped around 30% after the recent rise in BTC price, increasing from $65 per petahash per sec (PH/s) per day in Q4 2022 to around $85 per PH/s per day in Q1 2023. However, Bitcoin’s price jumped over 60% during the same period.

The increase in Bitcoin’s price is only part of the reason behind the hashrate surge. The discrepancy in miner incomes can be attributed to the increasing mining difficulty. It was mainly due to the delivery of new machines across America, which increased the network’s processing power and difficulty.

In January 2023, U.S. miners reportedly imported 1,555 tons of machines, which has propelled the network’s hashrate to its current peak.

Related: Crypto mining in 2023 — Is it still worth it? Watch Market Talks

Bitcoin monthly estimate of miner shipments and the network’s hashrate. Source: TheMinerMag

The rise in the network’s hashrate has limited the revenue of miners, which may adversely affect miners' incomes if BTC prices were to fall from here.

There’s a probability that the network’s hashrate could plateau around current levels. The MinerMag report added:

"If there’s no major uptick in the shipment gross weight in the rest of March and into April, the growth rate of bitcoin’s network hashrate may gradually slow down.”

Bitcoin’s price performance will continue to play a significant role in the growth of the mining sector, but BTC price must sustain its current level or move higher for positive revenues and a continued uptrend in public stocks.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.



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'Definitely not bullish' — 7% Bitcoin price gains fail to convince traders

Bitcoin simply hasn't dealt with the worst of resistance in a key trading range for everyone to flip bullish.

Bitcoin (BTC) may have erased its Binance “FUD” losses, but popular traders are anything but bullish.

Despite gaining up to 7.5% versus its March 28 lows, BTC/USD is causing more suspicion than excitement with its return to local highs.

$30,000 stays breaker for bullish sentiment flip

In a move which echoes its reactions to previous news events such as the Silicon Valley Bank demise, Bitcoin has recovered snap losses in record time.

On March 29, BTC price action hit $28,650 on Bitstamp — just $200 off new nine-month highs.

Unlike before, however, the mood among market participants is distinctly risk-off under current conditions.

Among them is popular trader Muro, who argued that the bounce came courtesy of large-volume traders and was nothing more than a product of their strategies.

“The big guys basically brought price back to their recent short entry (red) by taking profit,” he commented alongside a chart of BTC/USDT perpetual futures.

“I’m definitely not bullish. Going small risk short again.”
BTC/USDT perpetual swaps annotated chart. Source: Muro/ Twitter

Related: US enforcement agencies are turning up the heat on crypto-related crime

Others looked to longer timeframes to make the case for Bitcoin at least taking a breather in its current trading range.

Historically, the area around $28,000 has been the most active in terms of volume, and attempts to flip it from resistance to support thus require exceptional strength.

“What is more important, the local weekly breakout of a multi-month range, or the retest of the most significant supply zone in the last 2 years while we face all kinds of headwinds?” trader and analyst Cantering Clark argued.

“I will get just as bullish as every carnival barker when we are above 30k. Also, not for nothing, in trending markets there should be nothing wrong with buying higher. Until then, respecting resistance and positioning in accordance with that.”

Fellow trader and analyst Josh Rager agreed, adding a BTC/USD chart showing the significance of the range.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Source: Josh Rager/ Twitter

China liquidity among day's macro triggers

BTC/USD meanwhile traded at $28,300 at the time of writing, according to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Related: Bitcoin price jumps above $28K after 1.5K BTC shorts ‘blown out’

The day's Wall Street open offered little by way of additional momentum, despite United States equities trending higher

Analytics account Tedtalksmacro nonetheless noted the resumption of liquidity injections from China's central bank — a potentially key event given crypto markets' susceptibility to central bank liquidity.

As Cointelegraph reported, all eyes continue to be on the U.S. for the release of key macro data later this week.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.



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XRP price tags 10-month high — Can a 35% pullback be avoided?

A U.S. regulator called Bitcoin, Ether, and Litecoin commodities in its court filing against Binance. It did not mention XRP anywhere.

XRP (XRP) outperformed its top-ranking crypto rivals over the past 24 hours while reaching the highest price in 10 months. 

XRP price tags 10-month high

On March 29, XRP's price surged by nearly 15% to $0.58, its highest level in ten months, outperforming Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) in the past 24 hours that rose around 4.5% and 2.75%, respectively.

XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) referred to Bitcoin, Ether, and Litecoin (LTC) as "commodities" in its court filing against Binance. While the U.S. regulatory didn't name XRP, many assumed the token would be categorized as a commodity.

Related: Here’s why CFTC suing Binance is a bigger deal than an SEC enforcement

The lawsuit will likely conclude by the end of March, with legal experts believing Ripple has a chance to win. XRP price has rallied 45% month-to-date on similar hopes, including the March 29 price rally, supplemented further by investors' optimistic interpretation of the CFTC court filing.

35% XRP price correction ahead?

XRP's price rally brought it closer to the breakout target of $0.60. However, the possibility of a big correction after the SEC vs. Ripple ruling as a "sell the news" event remains.

Related: Why is XRP price up today?

Technical indicators also show the XRP/USD pair facing the upper trendline of its prevailing rising channel. Thus, a correction toward the lower trendline is now in play, with the downside price target around $0.38 in April, down 35% from current price levels. 

XRP/USD daily price chart. Source: TradingView

On a broader timeframe, the rising channel appears like a bear flag, a bearish continuation technical indicator.

XRP/USD weekly price chart. Source: TradingView

The completion of the flag pattern could see XRP price falling to $0.189 by June, down over 65% from current price levels

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.



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Tuesday, March 28, 2023

Crypto-friendly banks mismanaged traditional risks, FDIC head tells Senate hearing

It all started with FTX, FDIC head Martin Gruenberg said; he emphasized that the American banking system remains sound.

The United States Senate Banking Committee held a hearing March 28 on the regulatory response to recent bank failures. Officials from the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC), Federal Reserve and Treasury testified. FDIC chair Martin Gruenberg spoke about the causes of the failures of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) and Signature Bank, including the role of digital assets, and the agency’s responses to the crisis.

High levels of uninsured deposits and rapid growth were common factors in the bank collapses in March, Gruenberg said. Gruenberg’s narrative began with the closing of digital-asset-focused Silvergate Bank, announced on March 8, although that story began with the bankruptcy of FTX.

FTX represented less than 10% of Silvergate Bank’s total deposits, but the bank lost 68% of its deposits in the aftermath of FTX's bankruptcy, setting off a fatal chain of events for the bank. Gruenberg said:

“The troubles experienced by Silvergate Bank demonstrated how traditional banking risks, […] When not managed adequately, could combine to lead to a bad outcome.”

FDIC was informed of the run on SVB on the evening of Thursday, March 9. SVB closed on March 10 and FDIC worked with the bank throughout the weekend, succeeding in reopening the bridge bank the following Monday. Gruenberg noted that, like Silvergate Bank, SVB had concentrated its activities in a single sector — venture capital firms.

Related: Adoption and nerves — Crypto pumps amid banking crisis

Signature Bank was more diversified than Silvergate Bank or SVB. That was partly because of the bank’s decision to reduce its exposure to digital assets after the FTX bankruptcy and media scrutiny of the bank’s ties to the crypto exchange. The bank received more negative attention related to FTX in February, when it was sued for allegedly facilitating FTX’s commingling of accounts.

Deposit outflows from Signature Bank began March 9 and became acute the following day, Friday, with about 20% of deposits being withdrawn in hours. Management was unable to provide accurate financial data and the situation deteriorated:

“Resolution of the negative balance required a prolonged joint effort among Signature Bank, regulators, and the Federal Home Loan Bank of New York to pledge collateral and obtain the necessary funding from the Federal Reserve’s Discount Window to cover the negative outflows.”

"This was accomplished with minutes to spare before the Federal Reserve’s wire room closed,” Gruenberg added.

Gruenberg noted that Silvergate Bank and Signature Bank used digital platforms that made it possible to carry out transactions round-the-clock. They were “the only two known platforms of this type within U.S. insured institutions.”

Gruenberg gave a preliminary estimate of $22.5 billion for the cost to the Deposit Insurance Fund for resolving SVB and Signature Bank losses. He added, echoing several government officials in recent days, that:

“The state of the U.S. financial system remains sound despite recent events.”

FDIC will release a comprehensive report on the deposit insurance system; FDIC's chief risk officer will release a report on the corporation’s supervision of Signature Bank by May 1. In addition, FDIC will issue a proposal on new rulemaking on the special assessment that month.

The other speakers at the hearing gave briefer testimony. Treasury Under Secretary for Domestic Finance Nellie Liang described how the Treasury engaged with FDIC and the Federal Reserve during the bank failures. Fed Vice Chair for Supervision Michael S. Barr discussed in fairly technical terms the failure of SVB and the subsequent steps taken by the government.

Magazine: Can you trust crypto exchanges after the collapse of FTX?



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NFTs, gaming and storage: The key to Filecoin and Arweave accruing value?

Future growth in blockchain gaming, NFTs and the need for more decentralized storage could eventually benefit FIL and AR price.

With the rise of Ordinals on Bitcoin (BTC) sparking debate over how users should store their NFTs and blockchain gaming projects searching for cheaper, secure ways to store data, it’s time to revisit the discussion surrounding decentralized storage coins.

Decentralized storage protocols Filecoin (FIL) and Arweave (AR) show similar price action, leaving investors with a decision between the underdog showing signs of increased adoption by NFT users and blockchain gaming projects and the clear leader in market cap and adoption.

The total market capitalization of the entire digital storage cryptocurrency landscape today is $4.87 billion, according to data from CoinMarketCap, and each protocol provides something different. The two largest projects in the space by market cap that specifically addresses storage needs for NFTs and blockchain gaming are Filecoin and Arweave. Filecoin is currently the top-ranked project in the sector. It ranks 27th on CoinMarketCap by total market cap, but Arweave has significant on-chain activity and fundamental news that deserves attention.

The primary difference between the projects is their focus. Arweave is focused on long-term data storage with a one-time payment model, while Filecoin is more focused on incentivizing large-scale storage, especially for private data, and uses a tiered payment model based on storage time and space requests.

Filecoin has recently announced it would launch smart contracts, solidifying its new position as a layer-1 platform. This development has led to speculation on Filecoin’s future success in deploying Web3 offerings with real-world services like computing and storage, supported by Filecoin’s open marketplace for decentralized storage.

Given the current volatile crypto and macro climate, Filecoin revenue is notable at $2.53 million per month (up 238 over 30 days). Over the same period, fees are up 33% ($2.99 million), indicating strong demand for the platform. The market cap of FIL is at $2.76B, up 14% in the same period.

Filecoin has a maximum supply of 2 billion tokens and a circulating supply of around 403 million. Of the total supply, 70% is dedicated to mining rewards, which increase with network adoption. The rate at which new tokens are created decreases over time as the network matures.

By comparison, Arweave has a much smaller market cap of about $441 million, reflecting a 30% drop over the last 30 days. However, its maximum supply (66 million) compared to total circulating tokens (~50 million) could be more attractive to investors worried about inflation. In addition, AR’s price has been significantly depressed since its all-time high in late 2022.

Arweave (AR) compared to Filecoin (FIL) by Total Market Cap. Source: CoinMarketCap.

Arweave is an underdog in price and adoption, but it would be prudent to note the protocol’s rise in popularity due to its unique differentiator as a permanent storage solution for public data. That could be a clear advantage over competitors when providing infrastructure for the Metaverse. Meta already utilizes Arweave to permanently store digital collectibles from Instagram. Despite a significant drawdown in Metaverse and blockchain gaming projects, transactions on Arweave reached a monthly ATH in February (+20% MoM).

The increase in transactions may be associated with the upcoming release of Arweave 2.6, which aims to lower storage costs and increase energy efficiency for miners while improving the protocol’s ESG standing.

However, Arweave founder Sam Williams postulates that the bulk of transactions is thanks to Bundlr, which claims to increase transactions on Arweave by 4,000% without sacrificing security and at “~3000x faster” upload speed. Bundlr accounts for over 90% of data uploaded to Arweave.

Arweave’s price is down ~90% from its ATH, despite record-high transactions and its partnerships with Meta and the Solana (SOL) blockchain. That is less of a difference than Filecoin, a name down nearly 100% from its ATH.

Meanwhile, Arweave’s “Weave” (a blockchain-like structure) size has grown 135% YoY (134 TB). A recent report by Messari estimates 25% of the Weave is related to NFTs, while 72% is Web3 related. The report also mentions that Decentralized Social (DeSoc) projects like Lens Protocol use Arweave as the preferred decentralized storage platform.

On the flip side, Meta also recently announced it would be “winding down digital collectibles (NFTs),” which may cast a shadow on Arweave’s growth potential. In addition, Arweave’s storage growth is shadowed by Filecoin’s 1,390% (687,900 TB) increase over the same period.

It is also worth considering how recent news of Amazon’s upcoming NFT marketplace could impact the storage coin market. Arweave may get the most immediate impact thanks to its partnership with Avalanche (AVAX), considering the L-1 blockchain partnered with Amazon last year. While there’s no clear news from the company on whether they will use Amazon Web Services (AWS) or the InterPlanetary File System (IPFS) used by Filecoin, Arweave, and several other decentralized storage solutions, the increased awareness of NFTs via Amazon may ultimately channel users and capital into the system. Amazon’s NFT campaign will likely lead to more traffic on the leading NFT marketplace, OpenSea, which utilizes IPFS and Arweave for metadata storage.

The NFT market also shows signs of resilience, with $2 billion in trading volume in February, up 117% from the previous month, and the industry’s total value locked (TVL) climbing by over 7% ($81 billion). Blockchain gaming remained the dominant sector and a space hungry for decentralized storage (45% of DApp industry activity), despite a 12.33% decrease in on-chain gaming activity.

With the number of funding deals jumping 90% in February, it’s clear that there remains a strong interest in blockchain gaming in the long term, and that will bode well for storage coins that position themselves to aid that sector.

While the rise of blockchain gaming may boost storage coins like Filecoin and Arweave, it's important to carefully analyze each project's fundamental news, security, and adoption trends before making investment decisions. Filecoin appears to be the stronger choice with its greater adoption, but Arweave’s steady rise in usage in growing Web3 narratives remains an interesting trend to keep an eye on.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the authors’ alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.



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European Banking Federation shares its vision of digital euro, wCBDC, bank tokens

The EBF calls itself the voice of the European banking sector; it expressed its support for European digital money, with suggestions of its own.

The European Banking Federation (EBF) has released a paper detailing its vision for the digital money ecosystem of the future, and the retail digital euro in particular. The carefully worded paper expressed values and concerns about the digital euro from the perspective of commercial banks. 

The paper, released on March 28, emphasized the bank's values, such as stability and privacy. It called for closer public-private partnership in the introduction of the digital euro. “There is currently no dialogue in place to address the fundamental changes and risks to the monetary and financial system,” the paper said. At the same time, there needs to be a framework for permanent high-level engagement.

The EBF ecosystem vision emphasized the role of the private sector in all aspects, beginning with infrastructure, where Europe needs to lessen dependence on outside “actors.” That ecosystem would contain three elements: the digital euro, a wholesale central bank digital currency (CBDC) and bank-issued money tokens.

Related: ECB executive board member outlines plans for digital euro to European Parliament

In the EBF vision, the digital euro should have three levels, with a European Central Bank role and two industry levels — the first to interact with the Single Euro Payments Area and an Industry Level B that “would be subsequently developed and operated by the private sector, in compliance with the principles set out in the previous layers.” Those principles have yet to be developed fully:

“The European market needs the authorities to clarify the interaction of different and converging policy objectives, especially when it comes to the development of pan-European payment solutions at the Point of Sale / Point of Interaction.”

The paper was careful to refer to blockchain technology only in reference to certain parts of its envisioned ecosystem. A wholesale CBDC, where interoperability is key to enabling cross-border transactions with central bank money, was assumed to operate on distributed ledger technology (DLT).

In addition, bank-issued money tokens had a crucial role in the EBF vision for “business needs such as automated industrial processes that run on DLT and use smart contracts.” These tokens apparently correspond to Industry Level B of the digital euro scheme. More standardization would be needed for these solutions as well, the paper noted.

The EBF represents 33 national banking associations and 3,500 individual banks.

Magazine: Unstablecoins: Depegging, bank runs and other risks loom



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Why is the crypto market down today?

The crypto market is down today after fallout from the CFTC lawsuit against Binance and Changpeng Zhao continue to scare off investors.

Right as analysts thought that Bitcoin (BTC) was on the cusp of confirming a new bull market, the crypto market took a turn to the downside after the fallout from the United States Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) presented a lawsuit against Binance and its CEO Changpeng “CZ” Zhao. The lawsuit against the crypto sector’s largest exchange by users and volume spooked investors and brought prices down across the market. 

Bitcoin price hit a 7-day low on March 28 at $26,704 after failing to maintain the key $27,000 level. Traders are worried that a further correction could lead to a revisit of the bear market lows.

Similar worries exist for Ether (ETH) which breached the $1,700 level to reach a 7-day low at $1,698 on March 27.

Cryptocurrency market performance, daily timeframe: Coin360

U.S. crackdown leads to increased crypto outflows

On March 27, the CFTC filed a lawsuit against Binance, CZ and Samuel Lim, the Chief Compliance Officer. The lawsuit further alleges Binance offered derivatives to U.S customers without a license.

The lawsuit follows enforcement action against Paxos and Binance, confirming crypto investors’ suspicion that U.S.-based regulators have decided to finally lay down the hammer on unregulated crypto service providers.

Related: US enforcement agencies are turning up the heat on crypto-related crime

The cryptocurrency industry and regulators have a long history not getting along either due to various misconceptions or mistrust over the actual use case of digital assets. After the FTX implosion, some feel U.S. lawmakers are angry with the crypto industry. The most recent battle is centered on how centralized exchanges can use customer funds.

Gary Gensler, the SEC Chair, issued the following warning,

“If this field has any chance of survival and success, it’s time-tested rules and laws to protect the investing public. Don’t have your hand in the customer’s pocket, using their funds for your own platform.”

Regulators are expected to keep an even closer eye on the sector. Another CEX, KuCoin was sued by the New York Attorney General Letitia James on March 9.

While crypto price may be down, Mike Brusov, co-founder at the asset management firm Cindicator urges the industry to wait for more information,

“Recent news regarding the lawsuit between the CFTC and Binance CEO, Changpeng Zhao, may not sound good on the surface. But, keep in mind, the allegations still need to be proven as further evidence remains to be investigated. Binance is registered in other areas of the world other than the US, making us confident that their doors will remain open regardless of the results of the current lawsuit. The crypto market may experience a drawdown in light of this news, but should then recover as the defense proves out their case.”

Despite CZ’s rejection of the allegations, Binance saw a net outflow of $121 million in Bitcoin on March 27.

Bitcoin netflow on Binance. Source: Glassnode

Interest rate hikes and the expectation of a softening economy weigh on risk assets

On March 28 at the conclusion of the Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC), Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell raised interest rates despite the capital acquisition and debt management challenges it is causing banks. While the Fed set up a program to protect depositors that appears to reverse its policy of monetary tightening, it has not translated to bullish crypto price action. 

Powell and the Fed remain committed to bringing inflation down to 2%. In a press conference directly following the FOMC announcement Powell reiterated,

“We remain committed to bring inflation back down to our 2 percent goal and to keep longer-term inflation expectations well anchored. Reducing inflation is likely to require a period of below-trend growth and some softening of labor market conditions. Restoring price stability is essential to set the stage for achieving maximum employment and stable prices over the longer run.”

Related: Binance-CFTC FUD puts BNB price at risk of drop toward $200

The market seems to believe that at the May 3 FOMC, that the Fed will keep interest rates the same rather than another increase.

Target interest rate probabilities. Source: CME Group

To date, crypto prices are still highly correlated with the Dow and S&P 500 and most major banks still expect the U.S. to experience a sharp recession at some point in 2023. 

According to U.S. Bank analysis, investor sentiment about the current state of the economy remains low.

Global economic health. Source: U.S. Bank

According to U.S. Bank, 

“U.S. equities appear range bound, with the S&P 500 moving between 3,800 and 4,200, impacted by the effects of still-elevated inflation and the Fed’s recent interest rate hike, mixed messaging surrounding uninsured deposits and the approaching kickoff of first quarter earnings reports.”

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.



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Galaxy Digital swings to profit after $1B net loss in 2022

The Mike Novogratz-led digital asset firm recorded a pre-tax income of $150 million during most of Q1 2023.

On March 28, Canadian investment firm Galaxy Digital, operated by blockchain personality Mike Novogratz, disclosed that it had achieved a preliminary pre-tax income of $150 million from Jan. 1, 2023, to March 24, 2023. 

The results followed a $1 billion net loss in 2022, which was largely attributed to a $659 million unrealized loss on digital assets and a $496 million unrealized loss on investments. As told by Novogratz:

"2022 was a formative year for Galaxy, and while we and our industry faced unprecedented macroeconomic events, we succeeded in staying the course and were able to opportunistically take advantage of strategic opportunities to build our operating businesses for the future."

On May 19, 2022, Novogratz claimed that he was "permanently humbled" by the collapse of the $40 billion Terra Luna ecosystem and reiterated the crypto industry "looks stronger than ever and wouldn't be going away any time soon." A year earlier, on Feb. 3, 2021, Cointelegraph reported Galaxy Digital invested $25 million into the Terra Luna protocol. Galaxy Digital reported a net income of $1.7 billion in 2021 during the height of the crypto bull market. 

In August 2022, Galaxy Digital reportedly dropped its plans to go public in the U.S. after terminating a $100 million deal to acquire digital asset custodian BitGo. Later in November, the firm disclosed a $77 million exposure to bankrupt cryptocurrency exchange FTX with $48 million likely locked in withdrawals. 

By the end of 2022, partner capital in the firm declined from $2.6 billion to $1.4 billion year-over-year. Despite setbacks, Novogratz says the firm has a strong liquidity position of $957 million. Among other items, the company projects its subsidiary Galaxy Mining will grow its Bitcoin (BTC) mining hash rate to 4 exahash per second by the end of this year, partly aided by its $65 million acquisition of Argo Blockchain's flagship Helio facility. 

Magazine: 5 years of the ‘Top 10 Cryptos’ experiment and the lessons learned



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What is an operating system?

Learn about software that manages computer hardware and software resources, provides a user interface and controls program execution.

An operating system is the foundation of any computing system, controlling the input and output of data and ensuring that different programs and devices work together effectively. Examples of operating systems include Windows, MacOS, Linux, Android and iOS.

Meaning and types of operating system

An operating system (OS) is a software program that manages computer hardware and software resources and provides common services for computer programs. It serves as an interface between the computer hardware and software.

An operating system’s main responsibility is to manage the computer’s resources, including memory, disc space, CPUs and input/output devices to ensure their effective and efficient use. The operating system also manages how programs are run and offers a user interface so that people may communicate with the machine.

There are numerous types of operating systems, such as:

  • Windows OS: Microsoft created the well-known operating system known as Windows. It is made to function on desktop and laptop computers, as well as tablets and cell phones.
  • MacOS: Apple Inc. created the MacOS operating system. It is made to only function on Apple devices, such as Macs, iPads and iPhones.
  • Linux OS: The cost-free open-source operating system is called Linux. It is made to function on a variety of hardware, including embedded systems, smartphones, servers and personal PCs.
  • Unix OS: Often found in servers and mainframe computers, Unix is a multi-user, multitasking operating system. It is renowned for its dependability, stability and security.
  • Android OS: Google created the Android smartphone operating system. It is made to function on tablets, smartphones and other portable electronics.
  • iOS: Apple Inc. created the iOS mobile operating system. It is made to work with iPod Touch, iPhone and iPad devices.
  • Chrome OS: Google created the lightweight operating system known as Chrome OS. It is made to function on Chromebooks and other hardware that makes use of the Chrome web browser.

Each type of operating system has its own unique features and characteristics, and the choice of operating system depends on the specific needs and requirements of the user.

Related: Top 10 most famous computer programmers of all time

How are operating systems used?

Here are a few examples of how operating systems are used in various contexts:

Personal computers

To control the hardware and software on their desktop or laptop, users probably use an operating system like Windows, Macintosh or Linux. With the help of the operating system’s graphical user interface (GUI), one may interact with their computer and use applications like word processors, web browsers and games.

Servers

In a data center or cloud computing environment, servers typically run a version of Linux or Unix to manage resources and provide services such as web hosting, database management and virtualization.

Mobile devices

When users use a smartphone or tablet, they are likely using an operating system such as Android or iOS to manage the hardware and software on their device. These operating systems provide a touch-based interface and a range of apps for communication, productivity, entertainment and more.

Embedded systems

A vast variety of embedded devices, including industrial machinery, automotive systems and medical equipment, also use operating systems. These operating systems frequently offer specialized functionality for the particular device and application and are made to be quick and effective.

Is a blockchain the same as an operating system?

No, a blockchain is not an operating system. Blockchain is a distributed ledger technology that is used for secure and transparent record-keeping. It is a type of database that is maintained by a network of computers, rather than a central authority.

Operating systems and applications can be used in conjunction with blockchains to increase security and transparency. One example of blockchain being used with an operating system is Microsoft’s Azure Blockchain Service, which allows developers to build and deploy blockchain applications using Microsoft’s cloud computing platform. The service integrates with Microsoft’s operating systems and other tools to provide a secure and scalable environment for blockchain development and deployment.

Related: Top 7 blockchain courses and certifications for beginners

However, it is important to note that a blockchain does not manage computer resources or offer a user interface for interacting with a computer or device, making it ineffective as an operating system substitute.

Magazine: ‘Account abstraction’ supercharges Ethereum wallets: Dummies guide



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Monday, March 27, 2023

An overview of fake product detection using blockchain technology

Blockchain technology can be used for fake product detection, providing secure and transparent records of transactions to prevent fraud and counterfeiting.

What are the future directions and potential applications of blockchain technology in product authentication?

Blockchain technology has already shown promise in the area of product authentication, and there are many potential future applications for this technology, including interaction with IoT devices and AI, and product identification in various industries.

The creation of more sophisticated blockchain-based systems that can interact with other technologies such as the Internet of Things (IoT) and artificial intelligence (AI) is one potential route. This may make it possible for items to be tracked and authenticated in a more sophisticated manner along the supply chain, thereby reducing the risk of fraud, forgery and other product tampering.

The growth of decentralized markets is another potential use of blockchain technology in product authentication. By eliminating intermediaries such as banks or payment processors, these marketplaces would employ blockchain technology to facilitate direct transactions between buyers and sellers. By doing so, it may be possible to increase transparency, decrease transaction costs and provide a securer and more reliable infrastructure.

Food safety and traceability could both benefit from the use of blockchain technology. Businesses can make sure that food goods are secure, high-quality and fresh by utilizing blockchain to track the entire supply chain.

Moreover, blockchain technology can be applied to boost the origin and production transparency of food products, fostering consumer trust and raising the product’s worth. In addition to these possible uses, blockchain technology also has a lot of other opportunities for product identification, such as in the pharmaceutical, luxury and electronics industries.

Blockchain technology can help to avoid fraud and counterfeiting, preserve consumer safety and improve overall economic performance by providing a secure and transparent record of transactions.

What are the challenges and limitations of blockchain-based product authentication?

While blockchain-based product authentication has many benefits, there are also several challenges and limitations that need to be considered, including the high cost of implementation, limited scalability and the need for interoperability between different blockchain networks.

Developing a blockchain-based system can be pricey, and there might be extra expenses related to teaching staff how to use the system. The requirement for technical know-how to create and operate a blockchain-based system presents another difficulty. This can call for specialized abilities that are hard to come by in a business or sector.

Another drawback of blockchain-based product authentication is scalability. The size of the blockchain may drastically increase as more products are added to the system, which could result in longer processing times and more expensive transactions.

However, blockchain technology is not standardized, which can make it challenging to connect with current systems and technologies. For businesses looking to use blockchain-based product authentication, this may present difficulties.

Data privacy is also a concern when it comes to blockchain-based product authentication. Although blockchain technology offers a safe and impenetrable record of transactions, data privacy remains a problem. Businesses must make sure that the data they gather and store complies with all applicable privacy laws.

Another issue with blockchain-based product authentication is adoption and acceptance. Since blockchain technology is still in its infancy, some stakeholders, including suppliers, distributors and clients, may be reluctant to accept it. The efficiency of blockchain-based product authentication might be constrained by this.

Related: Five major challenges in the blockchain industry

Are there any companies using blockchain for product authentication?

Many companies, such as Walmart, Everledger, Chronicled and Provenance, use blockchain for product authentication.

Here are some examples of how these companies are using blockchain for product authentication:

Walmart

Walmart tracks the food supply chain, including mangoes in the United States, using blockchain technology. Walmart can track a product’s origin and follow it as it moves through the supply chain using blockchain, giving customers confidence in its authenticity and transparency.

Freight management and payment automation using blockchain

Everledger

Everledger is a business that uses blockchain technology to give diamonds and other expensive things a digital identity. Customers can use their platform to check a diamond’s digital identification, which contains details about the diamond’s origin, cut and carat weight to confirm the legitimacy of the stone.

The process of purchasing insuring and registering a diamond on the Everledger blockchain

Chronicled

For medications, luxury goods and other high-value products, Chronicled employs blockchain technology to provide product authenticity and supply chain transparency. Its software enables businesses to monitor a product’s full supply chain, giving customers transparency and verification.

Blockchain-based product verification using MediLedger

Provenance

Blockchain technology is used by Provenance to provide supply chain transparency. Its software enables businesses to follow a product’s full supply chain, from its raw components to its finished product, giving consumers transparency and verification.

What is the role of digital identities in fake product detection?

Digital identities can help in fake product detection by providing a unique and verifiable identity to each product, making it easier to track its movements through the supply chain and verify its authenticity, thereby preventing the circulation of fake products.

In the modern era of e-commerce, the problem of fake products is prevalent, and it poses significant risks to both consumers and manufacturers. However, digital identities can play a crucial role in detecting and preventing fake products from entering the market.

Digital identities provide a secure and reliable means to validate the origin and ownership of a product. Manufacturers can establish a verifiable record of a product’s validity by registering it with a digital identity.

As technology makes it easier to trace and confirm the authenticity of products, this record can aid in preventing the entry of counterfeit goods onto the market. The movement of goods through the supply chain, from the manufacturer to the final consumer, can also be tracked using digital identities.

This increases visibility and openness throughout the whole supply chain, enabling more effective tracking and management of the product’s journey. In turn, since any irregularities in the supply chain may be found and looked into, this can aid in preventing the entry of fake goods onto the market.

Continuing the example of fake medicines, let’s understand how digital identities can be used in the healthcare industry. For instance, for each batch of medication they generate, pharmaceutical firms can construct digital identities that include details such as the producer, the date of production and the specific serial number of the medication.

A blockchain could be used to store this digital identity, establishing an unchangeable and impenetrable record of the medicine’s validity. Decentralized storage allows users to store their own credentials on their devices, giving them full control and making their identities self-sovereign. This allows for greater interoperability and protection against being locked into a single platform.

Before distributing medication to patients, pharmacies, hospitals and other supply chain distributors could use digital identification to confirm the medicine’s legitimacy. This may aid in preventing the distribution of bogus medications that might be harmful to patients. Digital identities can also be used to monitor and manage the flow of pharmaceuticals more efficiently by tracking them as they move through the supply chain.

What are the benefits of using blockchain for product authentication?

The benefits of using blockchain for product authentication include increased transparency, security and traceability of the supply chain, which can help prevent the circulation of counterfeit products.

Since blockchain records are transparent and immutable, meaning once data is added to the blockchain, it cannot be altered or deleted. This makes blockchain an ideal choice for tracking product authenticity and making sure it hasn’t been tampered with.

Moreover, by encrypting data and preventing illegal access, the cryptographic methods used in blockchain technology offer a high level of security. This guarantees that the information stored on the blockchain is safe and cannot be altered.

Blockchain technology is decentralized, which means it is not governed by a single organization. This makes it difficult for hackers to attack and manipulate the system, offering an added degree of security.

In addition, products can be tracked using blockchain technology from their place of origin to their point of consumption. All parties engaged in the supply chain will be able to see the product’s whole history and confirm its legitimacy as a result.

By automating the authentication process, blockchain technology reduces the need for manual verification, freeing up time and resources. This lowers the possibility of human error while increasing supply chain efficiency.

Furthermore, by giving customers a transparent and safe mechanism to confirm the legitimacy of the things they buy, businesses may increase customer trust by leveraging blockchain technology to authenticate products. Increased sales and client loyalty may result from this.

How does blockchain technology help in fake product detection?

Blockchain technology can aid in the discovery of fake products by offering a tamper-proof and transparent record of the entire supply chain, making it simpler to trace and verify the authenticity of products and enabling the prompt identification of any fraudulent activity.

Blockchain technology can be used to increase supply chain traceability and transparency, which can aid in identifying and stopping the sale of counterfeit goods. Blockchain establishes an immutable and transparent record of a product’s path from maker to end-user by documenting every transaction and movement of a product on a decentralized ledger.

Let’s use the supply chains for medications as an example. According to the World Health Organization, one in 10 medical products — e.g., medicines — in developing nations are fake, and this issue is equally common in developed nations. By establishing a safe and transparent supply chain for medications using blockchain technology, it will be simpler to identify and stop the distribution of fake medications.

Every time a drug changes hands in a supply chain built on blockchain technology, the transaction is documented on the blockchain, producing a transparent and unchangeable trail of the product’s travels. Cryptographic hashes are used to safeguard the records, making it hard for anyone to alter the records without being noticed.

 

Blockchain-based value co-creation in digital health ecosystem.

Smart contracts can also be used to automate supply chain verification and validation, guaranteeing that the product has not been tampered with or deviated from its intended path. In the case that a false product is discovered, smart contracts can also automatically send out alerts, enabling prompt action to stop its future distribution.

For instance, a company called Chronicled developed MediLedger, a blockchain-based solution for the pharmaceutical sector. MediLedger tracks the flow of medications from the producer to the consumer using blockchain technology, producing a transparent and immutable record of each transaction. With the detection of fake medications and their exclusion from the supply chain, this system helps to protect patient safety and medication efficacy.

Here are some steps in a blockchain-based medicine supply chain that can be tracked to prevent the circulation of counterfeit drugs:

  • Manufacturer: The company that creates and packages the medication also logs the specifics of that process on the blockchain.
  • Distributor: The medicine is then transported to the distributor, which records the receipt of the medicine and its movement on the blockchain.
  • Wholesaler: The wholesaler collects the medication from the distributor, checks its legitimacy, and records its journey on the blockchain.
  • Pharmacy: After receiving the medication from the wholesaler, the pharmacy checks its legitimacy and documents its movement on the blockchain.
  • End-user: After the medication has been purchased, the end-user can scan the blockchain-based QR code on the packaging to confirm its legitimacy.

Therefore, blockchain technology makes it possible to track every step of the supply chain, making it simpler to spot any fraud or tampering with the medicine. This can assist in identifying and stopping the distribution of fake medications and ensuring that only real medicines get to the end users.

Related: What are the applications of NFTs in supply chains?

What is the importance of supply chain transparency?

Supply chain transparency is crucial in preventing the circulation of fake products. Therefore, businesses must take steps to protect their brand and reputation from being tarnished by knockoff goods.

Counterfeit products have become a growing problem, affecting both consumers and legitimate businesses. These products can be harmful and frequently are of low quality, ranging from counterfeit electronics and medications to designer handbags and clothing. For instance, electronics that are counterfeit can be harmful and result in electrocution or fires. A fake Samsung phone was found to be the cause of a man’s death in Malaysia in 2016 after his cell phone burst while charging.

Similarly, counterfeit medicines can be ineffective or even harmful, and they are a major problem in developing countries. For example, in 2012, around 100 people died in Pakistan after taking fake heart medicine. In 2017, Hermes filed a lawsuit against an online shop for selling imitation Hermes bags, which hurt the reputation of the high-end brand.

Fake products hurt genuine businesses, which lose money and their reputation, in addition to consumers who inadvertently buy these products. Consumers must be aware of this problem and make appropriate efforts to avoid purchasing fraudulent goods. 

Supply chain transparency is important for a number of reasons:

  • Quality control: Companies are able to better understand their suppliers and the procedures used to produce their products when the supply chain is transparent. Because of their ability to spot and resolve any flaws or concerns that develop in the supply chain, businesses are able to improve quality control.
  • Sustainability: Transparency in the supply chain is crucial for confirming that businesses are acting ethically and sustainably. Companies can find areas where they might lessen their environmental impact and enhance the working conditions of their suppliers by tracking the whole supply chain.
  • Customer trust: As customers come to anticipate transparency in the items they purchase, supply chain transparency can contribute to increased customer trust in businesses. Companies can show their dedication to sustainability by disclosing details about the sources of their products and the processes used in their production.
  • Risk management: Supply chain transparency enables businesses to spot possible hazards and take precautions to reduce them. For example, organizations can identify suppliers in high-risk sectors or those with bad track records and take steps to lessen their reliance on these providers.
  • Compliance: Rules and regulations in a variety of industries frequently demand supply chain openness. Companies may make sure they are following these laws and staying out of trouble with the law by establishing a transparent supply chain.


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