Thursday, December 31, 2020

Close, but no cigar! Here are 2020’s worst Bitcoin price predictions

These off the mark 2020 Bitcoin price predictions prove that forecasting BTC’s value is as futile as picking lottery numbers.

Pundits and crypto analysts love to issue Bitcoin (BTC) price predictions regardless of how volatile the asset class is. 

In 2017, there were calls for BTC’s price to hit $35,000–$50,000, and of course, a few brave souls predicted that the price would top $1 million before correcting.

No one will forget how John McAfee infamously promised to chomp off his genitals if BTC’s price didn’t hit $1 million by 2020.

While some of these lofty estimates are based on fundamentals, others are entirely baseless. Regardless of the analyst’s rationale, a handful of them are so far removed from reality that they have become memes.

Let’s review the most outrageous Bitcoin price predictions of 2020.

“Guesstimation” attracts attention because nobody follows them up

Guessing the future price of cryptocurrencies is so embedded in the community that many analysts don’t even consider evaluating their effectiveness. Keeping up with the endless flow of predictions issued on blogs, podcasts, Twitter and YouTube is almost impossible. Imagine the difficulty and energy it would take for a person to follow up with all these random guesses.

To further complicate matters, some of these predictions come from well-known Bitcoin bashers, such as renowned gold bug Peter Schiff, and New York University Stern School of Business professor Nouriel Roubini. Thus, in some cases, personal credentials sometimes matter less than working analytical models.

A month before the March 12 crash, which saw Bitcoin’s price plummet 50% to $3,750, PlanB, the creator of the stock-to-flow model stated that Bitcoin would not return below $8,200. At the time, no one expected the Dow Jones equities index to face its most significant drop since 1987, neither the WTI oil future contract dropping to negative $40.

Despite the outlandish claim, PlanB won’t be nominated to 2020’s worse predictions because hardly anyone expected the coronavirus pandemic to impact the markets in a way that would cause absolute havoc. Furthermore, famous chartist Peter Brandt also made the same error when he said that BTC would never revisit the sub-$6,000 level in January.

CryptoWhale’s quantum model calls for $24,000 BTC in mid-2022

On June 2, 2020, Twitter analyst CryptoWhale revealed a new “quantum” model that would predict Bitcoin’s price. According to CryptoWhale, the model had “effectively predicted every major move since 2018.”

Bitcoin’s price in USD. Source: TradingView

Things could not have gotten worse as the model predicted both a $2,000 bottom in 2020 and a “proper bull run to $24,000” only in mid-2022. Somehow, the quantum particles, molecules and atoms that were supposed to make it more accurate were, in fact, pure blasphemy.

Two lessons that can be taken away from the “quantum model” are: (1) Having a ton of social network followers doesn’t necessarily translate to better price estimates, and (2) complex models are prone to the same errors as humans. Evaluating a new asset class during a period of desperate central bank monetary easing is far from easy.

Ross Ulbricht predicts nine months of downside after Black Thursday

In April, Ross Ulbricht, the founder of the now-defunct Silk Road darknet market, wrote that Bitcoin’s volatility — particularly the March 12 bloodbath — would most likely lead to a bear market, which could last for three to nine months. At that time, Bitcoin had been hovering around $7,000 and was clearly still affected by the recent 50% intraday correction.

Ross Ulbricht’s chart annotations. Source: Medium

Precisely 17 days after that blog post, BTC soared over 30% to $9,000, thus completely invalidating Ulbricht’s analysis. To further show how far off that analysis was, Ulbricht added that a $14,000 bull run was “very unlikely.”

During Ulbricht’s so-called bear market period, Bitcoin’s price rallied more than 300% from December 2018 to June 2019. Furthermore, calling for such a lengthy correction doesn’t align with Bitcoin’s historical data because even during the darkest period of December 2019, Bitcoin’s price remained more than 100% above the previous year’s lows.

Gavin Smith says Bitcoin will close 2020 at $7,000

During a July 27 interview with Forbes, Panxora CEO Gavin Smith said that he expected a $7,000 Bitcoin price by the end of the year. Gavin further added that “a short term washout this year before the true rally takes hold.”

Panxora’s CEO explained that despite the appreciating tendency caused by inflation hedge, the broader impact of demand shock on the economy would potentially drive BTC lower.

This estimate happened after 80 days of Bitcoin’s price consolidating around $9,500. At the time, despite rising 100% from mid-March lows, there was still some doubt about BTC’s ability to break the $10,000 resistance.

Antoni Trenchev calls for $50,000 Bitcoin price in 2020

On Jan. 3, 2020, Nexo co-founder Antoni Trenchev stated that BTC could easily reach $50,000 in 2020.

Besides an overly optimistic estimate, the rationale behind it doesn’t seem to fit. According to Trenchev, Bitcoin had become “the new gold,” and he pointed to the lack of correlation to traditional markets as a potential catalyst.

Gold, USD/OZ (right) vs. S&P 500 (left). Source: TradingView

As shown above, gold traded in tandem with traditional markets for the larger part of 2020, but it should be noted that these asset classes have different volatility. Thus, oscillations in equities tend to be much stronger. Nevertheless, the overall direction of both markets until November has been very much alike.

This price movement creates the impossible task where BTC is expected to act as “the new gold” while simultaneously presenting a lack of correlation. This estimate went doubly wrong for missing its year-end target by a wide margin and also failing to correctly estimate gold’s correlation to traditional markets.

Now that Bitcoin’s price is a mere 7.4% away from $30,000, it will be even more interesting to see what type of extravagant bullish and bearish price estimates are issued for 2021.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.



from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/3rDHgZj

Crypto Dollars and CBDCs: The Battle to Come

The future of money will be a tussle between algorythmic and fiat-pegged stablecoins and central bank digital currency experiments.

from CoinDesk https://ift.tt/2MnyGO9

What Is a Satoshi?

On today's holiday episode of Markets Daily, we take a look at the term "satoshi," its origin, what it means and why it matters.

from CoinDesk https://ift.tt/2WWKadh

Relax, Tether won’t be targeted by SEC, says Bitfinex CTO

Paolo Ardoino says Tether hasn't done anything to warrant any additional investigations from the SEC.

Paolo Ardoino, the outspoken chief technology officer of Bitfinex, took to Twitter this week to dispel concerns that Tether could be the next target of the United States Securities and Exchange Commission. 

In response to a tweet from CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju, Ardoino said Tether adheres to strict KYC/AML regulations set forth by the Treasury’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network, or FinCEN. In other words, people who say Tether is less regulated are just spreading “FUD,” or fear, uncertainty and doubt.

Ki Young’s original tweet said: “If SEC's next target is Tether, it's going to be very, very bad for this bull run as this market heavily relying on $USDT.”

Ardoino’s response:

While Ardoino isn’t wrong to point out Tether’s KYC/AML adherence, he doesn’t really address Ki Young’s central concern that the stablecoin may have skirted securities laws, especially if its dollar reserves are compromised.

In 2019, the New York Attorney General filed a Memorandum of Law alleging that Tether and its sister company Bitfinex ran an unregistered securities offering. The document also alleges that the companies loaned USDT to investors, raising suspicion that the coins are not fully backed by U.S. dollar reserves as is claimed. 

Tether’s USDT, which is allegedly only loosely pegged to the U.S. dollar, has been at the center of controversy for several years. In 2018, finance professor John Griffin and co-author Amin Shams argued in a research paper that USDT was used to manipulate the Bitcoin (BTC) price as it surged all the way up to $20,000.

Tether and Bitfinex were subpoenaed by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission in 2018 to seek proof that USDT is backed by equivalent dollar reserves. Despite the allegations, neither company has been accused of any wrongdoing.

Many within the crypto community are waiting for the next domino to fall after the SEC filed a lawsuit against Ripple for allegedly running an unregulated securities offering. Ripple will get the chance to prove its case in court. In the meantime, it's urging market participants not to draw any conclusions from the regulator's accusations



from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/3aUiePC

Enterprise blockchain trends that will drive adoption in 2021

Enterprise blockchain matured throughout 2020 and will continue to do so moving forward, here’s how it may become mainstream.

The year 2020 has been monumental for the blockchain sector, especially in regards to financial markets. Yet, while the price of Bitcoin (BTC) reached new all-time highs this year, the enterprise blockchain space also welcomed in public networks, open-source code and a number of other elements not seen in previous years defined by private, closed networks.

Listed below are five enterprise blockchain trends seen in 2020 that can drive mainstream adoption of blockchain moving forward.

Tokenization will drive the internet of value

“The Internet of Value” is a term coined by Don Tapscott, author and founder of The Blockchain Research Institute. In 2016, Tapscott gave a TED Talk in which he predicted that organizations would begin moving digital assets, including money, music, artwork and more, across blockchain networks in the same way as cryptocurrencies are transferred. “Once it’s there, this is immutable. You can’t hack it. This creates the conditions for prosperity for potentially billions of people,” Tapscott explained.

Indeed, innovative enterprises today are moving items of value across blockchain networks. Known as “tokenization,” this process allows financial assets like invoices to be sent across multiple network participants, ensuring that all parties receive the same information at the same time. Everything is recorded on a blockchain ledger, which ensures trust and transparency between parties. For example, Coke One North America is leveraging the Baseline Protocol to send tokenized invoices across multiple supply chain participants.

Digitized invoices are just one example of tokenization, though. Earlier this year, Ernst & Young Canada shared a use case being conducted with the nonprofit organization Canadian Blood Services to tokenize blood donations. Numerous amounts of data is generated when blood donations are taken from donors and moved across the supply chain. In order to track data accordingly, EY Canada is leveraging the private Ethereum blockchain network supported by the EY OpsChain platform to track donation data coming from Canadian Blood Services across seven key points, creating an improved audit trail for blood products.

While these examples are still early use cases of tokenization, this trend will continue to be leveraged by enterprises. In order to ensure the widespread adoption of tokenization, the Interwork Alliance, or IWA, is developing standards for understanding token model concepts. The IWA is specifically focused on sustainability and trade finance use cases. Discovering a global standard for tokenizing carbon credits is also one of the alliance’s current priorities, as the blockchain sector can expect to see more tokenized green initiatives moving forward.

Supply chain transformation

Supply chain management is one of the most practical enterprise blockchain use cases to date. One of the earliest examples of this was demonstrated in 2016 by IBM, when the tech giant announced plans for its Food Trust Network. The network launched in 2018, illustrating how major retailers like Walmart could track and trace food products back to their source by leveraging a private blockchain network powered by Hyperledger Fabric.

Fast forward to 2020, and a number of industries have adopted blockchain for supply chain operations. A new report from PwC in collaboration with OpenNodes, IBM, Ernst & Young and others shows that asset tracking and traceability has become the most important use case for distributed ledger technology.

The COVID-19 pandemic has accelerated the adoption trend. In March this year, The World Health Organization launched a blockchain platform designed to detect COVID-19 carriers and hot spots by tracking and tracing users’ health data. Some of the world’s largest container carriers have also joined IBM and Maersk’s TradeLens blockchain platform to digitally transform their supply chains. These carriers will begin to utilize electronic bills of lading while digitally sharing permissioned shipment information between supply chain entities.

Moreover, Deloitte’s 2020 Blockchain Trends report notes that initiatives utilizing blockchain in clinical trials and pharmaceutical supply chains have been underway this year. While few have reached production, the firm envisions that there will be a wave of solutions that will go live once regulatory concerns gain clarity.

Public blockchains

Over the years, enterprise blockchain developed a reputation as closed, private and expensive networks that could only be leveraged by billion-dollar companies like Walmart. However, 2020 has proven that public blockchains like Ethereum may offer a better choice for some enterprise users.

Ernst & Young was one of the first to demonstrate this, publishing a detailed blog post in Dec. 2019 explaining how public blockchains will make private blockchains obsolete moving forward. Although private blockchains are still very much being leveraged, more companies are using public blockchains to achieve benefits that cannot be provided by private networks.

For example, privacy and security solutions across public blockchain networks like Ethereum have become appealing to many enterprise users. As the space continues to mature, new privacy solutions utilizing zero-knowledge proofs are ensuring that data across public networks are secure, yet transparent when needed.

This has proven to be advantageous to some enterprises that have started leveraging the Ethereum blockchain for business use cases. For example, The Baseline Protocol, a set of techniques using advances in peer-to-peer messaging, zero-knowledge cryptography and blockchain to coordinate complex and confidential workflows, leverages blockchain as a middleware to demonstrate how the Ethereum mainnet can be used as an always-on, tamper-resistant state machine. 

Through the Baseline Protocol, the Ethereum mainnet, or any other blockchain networks for that matter, are used as a common frame of reference for traditional systems of record. One of the use cases of the Baseline Protocol is being demonstrated by Coke One North America for supply chain optimization.

While impressive, the real challenge moving forward will be getting other enterprises to adopt public blockchains. After all, it’s not uncommon for an organization to think of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin or Ether (ETH) when hearing the words “public blockchain.” In order for adoption to occur, enterprises must be open to utilizing a public network.

The rise of enterprise DeFi

Decentralized finance has grown to become one of the biggest crypto trends of 2020. The sector’s boom has laid the groundwork for “enterprise DeFi,” which is predicted to change financial services operations entirely.

For example, tokenized assets and fiat-backed stable coins will make moving financial items of value easier and less costly. This is already being demonstrated by companies like Coke One North America, which has begun tokenizing invoices. Yet in order for enterprise DeFi to become widely adopted, agreements regarding data sharing must be established to show that invoices and other financial transactions are valid and should be processed for payment.

DeFi protocols have also proven the potential to enable autonomous programmable digital securities in the future. However, regulations and standards must still be established in order for this to move forward.

Open-source blockchain adoption

Open-source code has always been an important part of the blockchain ecosystem, as it embodies the concept of open culture regulation. Interestingly enough, open source has become increasingly important for the development of enterprise blockchain networks.

While the Hyperledger open-source community was one of the first to demonstrate the importance of open-source code for enterprise use, a number of other projects are doing the same. For example, in March of this year, the Baseline Protocol was published to GitHub for public use, allowing developers to contribute to the project. In May 2019, EY made the code for its Nightfall solution open-source, releasing it on GitHub in hopes of speeding up the adoption of public blockchains. In June of this year, crypto exchange Bitfinex uploaded its “Dazaar” protocol to GitHub to allow users to share media across a decentralized network.

These examples show how enterprises have begun embracing open-source code to ensure the maturity of the blockchain space. Meanwhile, standards around open-source code are needed more than ever before. The nonprofit organization OASIS Open is one of those developing standards for open-source code used in blockchain projects, which will enable enterprise open-source protocols to advance .



from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/38VQsQi

Why Crypto Crosses ‘The Chasm’ in a Post-Coronavirus World

2020 will be looked back on as the year that marks the present era from the past; the demarcation line separating the before and the after.

from CoinDesk https://ift.tt/3pwXrpg

A crypto New Year’s resolution: Modernize security infrastructure

In 2021 and in the years to come, the digital-asset space must take steps to identify and implement solutions for its security.

It’s safe to say that 2020 has been a banner year for the digital-asset space. Bitcoin (BTC) soared past its previous high, and many other prominent cryptocurrencies reached their highest levels since the heyday of 2017 and early 2018. Across the financial services industry, institutional voices are expressing reinvigorated interest in digital assets. The growth and maturation of this space has been impossible to ignore, engendering plenty of optimism among those who build the platforms and systems on which it runs.

Unfortunately, not all the headlines from the past year have been positive. Several well-known crypto exchanges and other organizations were hacked, which led to significant losses. Events like these are not only damaging to a firm’s reputation and potentially devastating for investors, they also erode hard-won trust in the digital-asset space among institutional investors and the public.

Many of these hacks could have been avoided if the companies in question had taken proactive steps to modernize their technology infrastructure. As we close this whirlwind year for digital assets, one of the industry’s top resolutions for 2021 should be to reexamine its approach to infrastructure and make changes to ensure that investors of all stripes can trade and transact with security, efficiency and peace of mind.

Let’s review three of the most consequential hacking events of 2020 and examine how a more intelligent approach to infrastructure could have led to a different outcome.

KuCoin hack: $275 million in customer funds stolen

On Sept. 25, crypto exchange KuCoin was on the receiving end of a major hack that affected its Bitcoin, Ether (ETH) and ERC-20 hot wallets. While initial analysis suggested the hackers stole around $150 million, estimates began to increase in the ensuing days, ultimately making it one of the largest hacking events in the history of digital assets.

Related: KuCoin hack unpacked: More crypto possibly stolen than first feared

As it turns out, the hack was the result of private keys being stolen. While still prevalent in the digital-asset space, private keys mean there will always be a single point of failure through which bad actors can claim unfettered access to hot wallets. Put simply, they are a business risk.

A better approach would have been to leverage multiparty computation protocols, which eliminate the need for private keys and sign every transaction in a secure, distributed way, coupled with an enforced governance-and-control mechanism.

In the KuCoin case, even if the exchange was successfully breached, the hacker would not be able to execute any transaction not authorized by the institution’s infrastructure-provided policy engine.

OKEx withdrawal freezing

For five weeks in October and November, investors were unable to make withdrawals from cryptocurrency exchange OKEx. In a letter to customers, OKEx revealed that one of its private-key holders was cooperating with a police investigation, which kept them out of touch with the company and prevented its multisignature authorization process from being fulfilled.

For a platform that users leverage to carry out important investment decisions, the idea that a single person becoming compromised could result in a critical functionality being disabled for over a month is clearly untenable.

There is a lesson here: When firms use blockchain features designed for security to implement a policy, the result is overwhelming inflexibility. This is one of the paradoxes of the digital-asset space — blockchain transactions are secure and irreversible, but without the right approach, that same rigidity can spell disaster if things go awry.

To prevent this, firms must ensure their infrastructure includes a policy engine that, while not compromising on security, enables a more flexible policy control for multiple approvers, including the separation of signing on and approval of transactions. With this kind of solution in place, OKEx’s ability to fully operate would not have hinged on the availability of any key person.

Nexus Mutual breach: $8 million stolen

These hacking events were not limited to exchanges, as evidenced by the December breach of Nexus Mutual, a decentralized finance platform that serves as an alternative to insurance. The hacker managed to access the personal device of CEO Hugh Karp and install a compromised version of MetaMask, which led to Karp inadvertently signing a transaction that sent 370,000 NXM, worth $8.2 million, to an attacker-controlled address.

The issue here has to do with locally run wallets. These local wallets are unable to provide an out-of-band policy engine, so there is no way to verify that a contract and counterparty address are whitelisted, that the amount and issuer comply with company policy, or that there are additional approvers for certain transaction parameters.

Enlisting a third party with a more flexible, secure approach to infrastructure is the way to address these risks. This is especially important to reduce counterparty address manipulation, which is a risk in many scenarios. Even in the unlikely event that a provider like this is breached, there are safeguards in place to verify counterparty addresses, giving firms multiple lines of defense.

Conclusion

While digital assets have gained a remarkable amount of momentum in the past several months, many organizations still need to improve their security infrastructure before true adoption of digital assets can start.

This is not meant to chastise these firms, which continue to do important work to serve the industry, but to identify where their focus should be to achieve future growth and bring digital assets to the mainstream.

For all these issues — private-key security, authorization structure, local wallets and more — there are approaches that can lead to more efficient, stress-free transacting and fewer headlines that set off alarm bells for the traditional investors we all want to reach.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Itay Malinger is co-founder and CEO of Curv, a digital-asset security infrastructure firm. He draws on more than 15 years of cybersecurity experience in both the public and private sectors. Formerly, Itay was the director of enterprise security products at Akamai Technologies.


from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/2MczogX

New name, old problems? Libra’s rebrand to Diem still faces challenges

The Diem Association’s rebrand from Libra was supposed to herald a new day for the project, but a touted 2021 launch may not go as planned.

Facebook-backed Libra Association’s rebrand to Diem looked to quash negative perceptions of the project, but its new name has not changed the regulatory pressures the project still faces.

It has been 18 months since Facebook announced that it was looking to launch its very own payments system project that would plug into its social media platforms. Interest in the Libra project quickly turned to scrutiny, especially from regulators, financial institutions, central banks and major governments.

Facebook faced intense pressure from the United States Senate and even more from the House Financial Services Committee over its plans to launch the Libra project, given that its social media platform is used by a considerable portion of the world’s population. There were understandable fears that the sheer number of people that would have access to the Libra platform would have an effect on conventional financial and payment systems.

As the pressure mounted on Libra, it had to address a number of concerns from detractors and continued to kick its launch date further and further down the road. Nevertheless, the development of the platform, built on blockchain infrastructure, continued behind the scenes.

Toward the end of 2020, a report surfaced claiming that the Libra project would finally launch in early 2021. The report outlines that its native token would be pegged to the U.S. dollar but would inevitably serve as a stablecoin pegged to individual fiat tokens as opposed to the original plan that involved a basket of tokens.

Then, early in December, the Libra Association officially announced that it would be rebranding to the Diem Association — the word diem meaning “day” in Latin. The reasoning behind the move was to escape out from under the regulatory cloud that has hung over the Libra project since it first came into the public domain. In the announcement, Diem Association CEO Stuart Levey said that the change signaled a “new day” for the project, which still hopes to provide an innovative platform for billions of people to transact with each other.

Novi, the digital wallet that is set to integrate with the Diem payment system, also went through a rebrand earlier this year. A representative told Cointelegraph in May that Novi had received the necessary licensing and approval to launch and is expected to be integrated into Facebook Messenger and WhatsApp.

There’s already another Diem

The positive publicity surrounding the Diem Association’s rebrand was fairly short-lived, as news broke of a potential legal battle with a fintech startup based in the United Kingdom that already operates under the name Diem. An October article published by Forbes highlights that this other Diem application had already launched. The platform is an online pawn service that allows users to liquidate physical assets into cash.

Essentially, the U.K.-based Diem purchases a user’s assets and credits their online account instantly, offering a cash-for-assets service that doesn’t require an actual bidder for a sale. It also offers a physical debit card linked to the user’s digital account. The project is still in its infancy and was only in a beta testing phase just a couple of months ago. Nevertheless, its leadership intends to protect its brand identity, following the advice of legal experts.

Dean Steinbeck, a corporate lawyer in the U.S., told Cointelegraph that the primary purpose of trademark law is to protect consumers from being unsure of the source of the products and services they consume, further adding:

“As a result, a complex body of law has developed to allow companies to register trademarks and settle disputes. When deciding if one mark conflicts with another, courts look at the relatedness of the marks and the relatedness of the products and services. If the marks are confusingly similar they cannot co-exist.”

Steinbeck then highlighted the fact that things are far more complicated when it comes to international trademark law. This is due to the fact that trademark protection is based on consumer protection, which is limited to the geographic region where that trademark is used and recognized by its consumers: “It’s unclear how related Facebook’s stablecoin is to Diem’s ‘digital pawnbroker’ platform. My guess is not very.” Therefore, users are unlikely to confuse the two products.

Steinbeck further stated that while the U.K.-based Diem might be crying foul about Libra stealing its name, the truth of the situation is far more nuanced and complicated: “My guess is that Diem will use this publicity to gain users and receive a settlement from Facebook.” But that may prove to be an impossible task due to the vast resources that Facebook possesses.

With that said, Steinbeck also conceded that the U.K.-based Diem can easily prove that it used the trademark first due to the fact that it has been operational for some time and has users on its platform. The Diem Association, on the other hand, has not yet launched its offering, so it’s fairly clear that the other Diem was the first to use the trademark in Europe.

Facebook executive says Diem deserves the “benefit of the doubt”

While it’s still not clear if and when the Diem Association will face a legal challenge from the similarly named U.K. company, it’s full steam ahead, with 2021 looming on the horizon. On Dec. 8, during the Singapore FinTech Festival 2020, Facebook Financial head David Marcus said that the association plans to launch the Diem cryptocurrency and its native crypto wallet, Novi, sometime in the new year.

Given the bumpy road that the project has traversed over the past 18 months, Marcus called for the general public to give Diem a chance to showcase how it could potentially improve the payments landscape for a large number of people around the world: “I don’t think what we are asking for is just immediate trust. I think [...] what we’re asking for is at least to have the benefit of the doubt.”

Launch still hinges on regulatory approval

Once again, the actual launch of Diem is still subject to the necessary regulatory approvals from the Swiss Financial Market Supervisory Authority, or FINMA. This process has been ongoing since April when the then-Libra Association applied for a payment system license.

Nevertheless, that hasn’t swayed the view of some, like Germany’s finance minister, Olaf Scholz, who told a meeting of G-7 finance ministers that the project would not get the green light in the country if it did not address ongoing regulatory concerns. In October, the G-7 released a draft document indicating that the launch of Diem would be opposed until it “adequately addresses relevant legal, regulatory, and oversight requirements.”

All the while, Facebook has faced intense pressure from the U.S. Congress and Federal Trade Commission over allegations of widespread anti-competitive practices over the past 10 years. The FTC has filed a lawsuit pertaining to these points, with the end goal to force the spin-off of its acquired entities such as Instagram and WhatsApp into independent companies.

Cointelegraph reached out to the Diem Association with a range of questions related to the reception of its rebrand, but a representative declined to comment on any specifics, instead referencing previous press releases for information that has long been in the public domain.



from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/3pEXteY

Bitcoin Mining Machine Maker Ebang to Launch Crypto Exchange in 2021; Shares Rise

Bitcoin mining equipment maker Ebang announced Thursday it is preparing to officially launch a cryptocurrency exchange in the first quarter of 2021.

from CoinDesk https://ift.tt/2X5nfwp

Governments Will Start to Hodl Bitcoin in 2021

Crypto assets not only are not going away. They will become integral to our financial and political lives.

from CoinDesk https://ift.tt/3pCy5X5

US exchanges are suspending or delisting XRP left and right

Binance.US and eToro are the latest exchanges to discontinue XRP trading in America as Ripple faces the SEC's enforcement hammer.

Binance.US, the American branch of the global crypto exchange, and crypto-friendly asset trading service eToro are the latest platforms to suspend XRP trading in the U.S.

Announcing the news on Thursday, eToro revealed that U.S. customers will not be able to trade XRP on Jan. 3, 2021. Customers with existing trades at the time will have three weeks from that date to close all open positions, the platform added in its statement.

For Binance.US, the effective date of its XRP delisting is Jan. 13, 2021. However, the delisting will not affect the claim process for the Spark FLR token airdrop distribution event.

Binance.US and eToro now join the likes of Coinbase and Bittrex as major exchanges to halt XRP trading for American traders. Coinbase is also the subject of a lawsuit from a disgruntled trader accusing the platform of knowingly selling XRP as an unlicensed security to its users.

These actions have come in the wake of the enforcement action by the Securities and Exchange Commission against Ripple. The SEC is suing Ripple for violating securities laws in its sale of XRP tokens.

Aside from exchanges delisting or suspending XRP trading, U.S.-based investment firms with XRP positions have also liquidated their holdings. Digital asset manager Grayscale recently dumped about $5.77 million worth of XRP tokens following the SEC lawsuit. Earlier in December, Bitwise Asset Management sold off all its XRP, removing the token from its Bitwise 10 Crypto Index Fund.

Meanwhile, Ripple says it plans to fight back against the SEC’s accusations, urging investors not to accept the Commission’s stance in the matter. A virtual pretrial has already been fixed for Feb. 2021.



from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/3n3PR3Y

$30K BTC price imminent? This Bitcoin hodler metric hints at the next rally peak

Bitcoin HODLer volume suggests a prolonged correction is not likely, but that could change.

Bitcoin (BTC) HODLer volume has marked previous tops and the start of bull cycles. As the dominant cryptocurrency heads towards $30,000, HODLer activity could be a useful tool to potentially gauge BTC’s next peak.

Since October, as Cointelegraph reported, the HODLing activity of Bitcoin has continuously increased. Fewer HODLers have been moving their holdings, which indicates an overall bullish market sentiment.

Bitcoin HODLer volume. Source: Whalemap

Why HODLer activity is important to assess Bitcoin market sentiment

The term “HODLer” refers to long-time holders of Bitcoin. It is possible to track the activity of HODLers by evaluating addresses that have not moved BTC for several years.

If HODLers move their assets when the price of Bitcoin is going up, it might indicate an intent to sell to take a profit on the rally.

Conversely, if HODLers move their assets when the Bitcoin price declines, it could mean they are doubling down on their investments.

Hence, based on the price trend of Bitcoin, a spike in HODLer activity could signal that a major price movement is imminent.

For now, HODLer volume suggests that a prolonged Bitcoin pullback is not likely to happen. The volume remains low in comparison to previous peaks, which shows that the confidence of long-time holders remains high.

However, HODLer volume could lag behind and begin to spike as the price of Bitcoin slumps in the near term. If so, the possibility of an extended correction could still emerge.

As such, it would be important to observe the HODLer volume in the near term, especially if Bitcoin struggles to rise above $30,000.

The technical momentum has been driving up the price of Bitcoin in recent months. But if that slows down, HODLers could move to sell, anticipating a correction to occur from the large number of investors sitting on unrealized gains.

BTC becoming scarcer is a variable

Until the HODLer volume spikes to previous highs, it would be premature to predict a sizable pullback in the short term.

Various macro factors, such as the declining dollar and the drop of Bitcoin liquidity, have made BTC more attractive as a store of value, particularly for institutions.

Cointelegraph previously reported that Bitcoin is becoming less liquid due to increasing HOLDer activity.

This means that there are fewer BTC that could be bought or sold, which makes BTC more scarce as it heads into 2021.

BTC liquidity class. Source: Glassnode

Rafael Schultze-Kraft, the CTO of Glassnode, emphasized that this is bullish for Bitcoin in the longer-term. He said:

“One of the most important #Bitcoin charts in 2020. Liquidity getting squashed, investors hoarding, accessible BTC becoming scarcer. 1M BTC have become illiquid this year, i.e. are held by entities that spend < 25% of coins they receive. Less $BTC for you to buy. Bullish.”


from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/2WWnrht

EToro USA Becomes Latest Exchange to Suspend XRP Trading

The U.S. division of eToro is suspending XRP trading after an SEC suit alleging it is a security.

from CoinDesk https://ift.tt/382Arsh

Cover Protocol announces compensation plan following mining contract attack

Cover Protocol will distribute new "coins" to token holders as Binance announces compensation for affected traders.

Peer-to-peer coverage market Cover Protocol has published a compensation plan for token holders and liquidity providers affected by the recent hack. As part of the process, the Cover Protocol team took a snapshot at block height 11541218, the last transaction block before the exploit began.

Eligible liquidity providers on Uniswap, SushiSwap, and Balancer will receive new COVER tokens based on their share of the liquidity pool on those platforms. Liquidity providers on the first two platforms will also receive a share of the ETH returned by 'white hat' exploiters like Grap.Finance.

The compensation plan also revealed that token holders will receive new COVER coins on a 1-to-1 ratio with their initial wallet balance before the hack. Commenting on the reimbursement for coins held on centralized exchanges, Cover Protocol stated:

"We are working with centralized exchanges to reward users who had $COVER in their balances at the abovementioned block number with the new $COVER token (1:1)."

Meanwhile, Binance says it will recompense customers whose COVER tokens became worthless following the exploit on Dec. 28. Announcing the plan on Thursday, Binance revealed that the $10 million compensation will come from the platform’s SAFU Fund split between Binance USD and Ether.

According to the exchange, the decision was reached based on the fact that a majority of Binance users affected by the hack were not covered in the Cover compensation plan. Binance pledged to reimburse about 8.17 million BUSD and 2,581.16 ETH for a total of about $10.1 million.

As previously reported by Cointelegraph, the Cover Protocol suffered an infinite minting attack that triggered a price crash. Several entities exploited the vulnerability, with the first attacker reportedly draining over $4 million from the protocol.

In its report on the hack, the Cover Protocol team revealed that it was monitoring the address of the first attacker as well as other participants in the exploit.

The spate of successful attacks against decentralized finance projects in 2020 remains a source of concern. Indeed, while crypto crime declined during the year, the DeFi space contributed to over half of all thefts and hacks in the second half of the year.



from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/3hyDdZm

Top 10 crypto and blockchain stories of 2020

Corporations and institutional investors seeking an alternate store of value amid the pandemic crisis drove crypto to new heights in 2020.

The COVID-19 pandemic dominated the news in 2020, affecting myriad sectors — health, economics, social justice, politics and trade, as well as the cryptocurrency and blockchain industry. As country after country locked down to halt the virus’s spread, governments seized upon stimulus payments to preserve economic life. 

While necessary, these measures raised the specter of global inflation. This, in turn, pushed many traditional investors and institutions to take a new look at cryptocurrencies as an alternate store of value, especially Bitcoin (BTC), the top crypto. Following a March 11 dip, BTC went on a tear, reaching record levels by year end. With that as a backdrop, here are 2020’s top 10 stories of the crypto and blockchain world.

Bitcoin soars to record heights

The world’s oldest and most widely held cryptocurrency shattered price records and then some in 2020. Now, at the end of the year, Bitcoin’s market cap is standing at about $500 billion — surpassing Visa and Berkshire Hathaway — and its price on spot markets continues to inch toward $30,000.

The pre-rally record high of $19,850 was set in December 2017 by retail traders in Asia (many of which just discovering cryptocurrencies) driving the price, but this year, it was by mature investors continuously purchasing increments of Bitcoin and often holding it off-chain as a long-term investment, as the New York Times noted.

“We’re seeing fresh stories about institutional crypto adoption on almost a daily basis at this point,” Bitcoin Depot CEO Brandon Mintz told Cointelegraph in mid-December. MicroStrategy, Square, Paul Tudor Jones, Guggenheim Investors and even venerable insurance company MassMutual were among those purchasing BTC in 2020. “We are being driven by corporations and billionaires now, not just retailers,” said Minerd.

Decentralized finance bursts forth

“2020 was unequivocally the year of decentralized finance,” declared Da Hongfe, the co-founder of the Smart Economy network, in a Cointelegraph op-ed. True to that, the amount locked in DeFi had soared to almost $15 billion on Dec. 30, compared with only $658 million at the beginning of the year, according to DeFi Pulse.

Indeed, a new term, “yield farming,” entered the crypto lexicon. In return for staking one’s BTC or Ether (ETH) as collateral with a DeFi firm, a user might receive a governance token enabling the holder to “debate, propose, and vote on all changes to the [platform’s] protocol.”

Ownership of these governance tokens became quite lucrative in 2020. First issued in June, Compound’s COMP rose in value from $61 on June 18 to $382 on June 21 following its launch on United States exchange Coinbase Pro. It is closing the year at $148 on Dec. 31, 2020.

DeFi is a “game changer,” Giuseppe Ateniese, a professor at the Stevens Institute of Technology, previously told Cointelegraph. “With decentralized finance, there’s no human in the loop, no server, no organization. There’s no bias.” It isn’t like a traditional car loan, where if the borrower defaults, the bank goes after the car seeking repossession, he explained. “With DeFi, assets are digital and locked/committed through smart contracts. If I don’t pay the loan back, the digital asset that I used as collateral is taken, and there is nothing I can do about it.”

PayPal deals in crypto

It took Bitcoin 12 years to gain 100 million users. Then, in a single month, the network additionally gained a potential 300 million more users as payments giant PayPal announced it would allow users to buy, sell and hold Bitcoin, Ether, Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Litecoin (LTC).

“It’s already having a huge impact,” declared Pantera Capital in November. “Within four weeks of going live, PayPal is already buying almost 70% of the new supply of bitcoins.” The following month, Pantera updated: “Within two months of going live, PayPal is already buying more than 100% of the new supply of bitcoins.”

Bitcoin survives quadrennial halving

Bitcoin halvings, designed to limit BTC’s issuance rate — which is capped at 21 million units — occur roughly every four years, and they are typically marked by some anxiousness. They are analogous to a company telling its workers to expect a 50% pay cut. Here, it is the block reward for the Bitcoin network’s validators, known as miners, that is sliced in half.

The May 2020 halving reduced miners’ block reward from 12.5 BTC to 6.25 BTC, and it came and went without calamity — no exodus of miners or collapse in the network’s computing power (hash rate), as some had feared. Seven months later, Bitcoin is selling at roughly three times its pre-halving level ($8,566 on May 11).

China tests, but The Bahamas launches world’s first CBDC

The race to issue the first central bank digital currency, or CBDC, at scale moved closer to resolution in 2020, with China’s August announcement of a trial run of its digital yuan in four city hubs — Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou and Hong Kong — a test area with 400 million people, or about 29% of the country’s population.

Many anticipated China’s digital currency electronic payment (DCEP) project would soon achieve full rollout, but disagreements arose as to its significance. Would a digital yuan challenge the U.S. dollar as the world’s reserve currency, as the Financial Times feared? The publication wrote in August: “China’s rapid development of a central bank digital currency has the potential to upset the global monetary order.”

Or are CBDCs still so riddled with unsolved problems, such as fraud prevention and cyber attacks, that launching one now at scale would be irresponsible, as United States Federal Reserve chief Jerome Powell implied in October?

In any case, China will not have the world’s first CBDC. That distinction belongs to The Bahamas, an island nation in the West Indies that made history on Oct. 20 with the official launch of its central bank digital currency, the so-called Sand Dollar, built on a blockchain platform.

MicroStrategy goes all in on BTC

2020 was the year publicly owned corporations and institutional investors started to move the crypto needle, and no listed company embraced crypto with quite the fervor as MicroStrategy, a Nasdaq-listed business intelligence firm. Not only had it accumulated $250 million in Bitcoin by August, but it made BTC its primary corporate reserve treasury.

As CEO Michael Saylor explained, unprecedented government stimulus measures undertaken to combat the COVID-19 crisis were expected to have a “significant depreciating effect on the long-term real value of fiat currencies and many other conventional asset types, including those traditionally held as part of corporate treasury operations.” In this new world, Bitcoin is a dependable store of value “with more long-term appreciation potential than holding cash.”

MicroStrategy continued to purchase BTC through the year, and in late 2020, it raised $650 million through the sale of convertible notes to buy even more Bitcoin. As of Dec. 21, the company held a total of 70,470 BTC, purchased at an average price of $15,964 per Bitcoin. The Wall Street Journal marvelled at the firm’s transformation, asking: “Is this a publicly traded company or is it a hedge fund?"

Coinbase probes IPO waters

In December, exchange Coinbase announced a bid to become the first crypto-native corporation to be listed on a major U.S. stock exchange. The 35-million-customer company could be valued at $28 billion, according to research firm Messari, if its initial public offering comes to fruition.

“It is a massive event,” Vladimir Vishnevskiy, director and co-founder of Swiss wealth management firm St. Gotthard Fund Management AG, told Cointelegraph, and not only in the U.S. but in Europe too, because “the IPO will provide a marker in terms of how markets are ready to value such companies.”

The IPO is a “milestone for the crypto industry,” noted Fortune magazine. “It’s far from clear, however, whether the United States Securities and Exchange Commission would sign off on such an arrangement.” Coinbase stirred some controversy in 2020 for discouraging employees from political activism in the workplace, and in November, the New York Times reported that some of Coinbase’s black employees had voiced concerns of discriminatory treatment. Others noted the exchange was still plagued by untimely service outages during times of high price volatility.

Even so, the IPO announcement is a major event, said University of Texas finance professor John Griffin, “showing that the path of Coinbase to work within the regulatory process is an economically profitable one.”

Telegram Group abandons TON project

Telegram Group Inc. had sought to build a decentralized blockchain platform along the lines of Bitcoin and Ethereum — only better, that is, “vastly superior to them in speed and scalability,” according to Pavel Durov, founder and CEO of the open-source encrypted messenger service firm, with some 300 million users globally. But Telegram failed to overcome resistance from the SEC and pulled the plug on its TON (Telegram Open Network) project in May.

The Dubai-based firm had already raised $1.7 billion to launch the project’s “Grams” token, but the SEC deemed the coins to be unregistered securities and moved to halt their distribution — not just in the U.S. but anywhere in the world. A federal court gave the agency preliminary support.

“We are still dependent on the United States when it comes to finance and technology,” wrote Durov in a blog, adding: “This may change in the future. But today, we are in a vicious circle: you can’t bring more balance to an overly centralized world exactly because it’s so centralized.” Telegram had the participation of a number of prominent investors, including blue-chip venture capital firms Kleiner Perkins and Sequoia Capital.

Investor Paul Tudor Jones endorses BTC

COVID-related government stimulus efforts had many investors worried about inflation in 2020, and some were willing to give cryptocurrencies a fresh view as an alternate store of value. Prominent among them was Paul Tudor Jones, a hedge fund investor who reported in May that a portion of his assets was now invested in Bitcoin.

The endorsement of a celebrated investor like Jones — who predicted the 1987 stock market crash — paved the way for mainstream investors and others to become involved in crypto. “Making the case for Bitcoin as his preferred hedge against what he [Jones] calls ‘the great monetary inflation’ has significantly reduced ‘career risk’ for many of his peers considering an allocation to Bitcoin,” Bitwise Asset Management’s David Lawant previously told Cointelegraph. The Wall Street Journal also commented:

“The [Bitcoin] rally has attracted a wide cast of characters, from the Wall Street billionaires Paul Tudor Jones and Stanley Druckenmiller to momentum investors who aim to ride winning assets higher and losing markets lower. Their participation, in turn, has fueled more buying.”

Declaring XRP a security, SEC sues Ripple

The XRP token was the third-largest cryptocurrency by market value — trailing only Bitcoin and Ether — when in late December the San Francisco-based firm ran into a buzzsaw in the form of the SEC.

Led by outgoing chairman Jay Clayton, the commission filed legal action against Ripple and its top-two executives, alleging that the XRP coin created by Ripple was in fact a security, and that the firm had raised over $1.3 billion through an unregistered, ongoing digital asset securities offering. In the three days following the announcement, XRP’s price plummeted 41%, and it became unclear whether the firm would survive in its present form.

On Dec. 27, Coinbase, the largest U.S. exchange, announced that it would suspend XRP trading, and with others delisting the token, the climate around the coin has become increasingly unstable. On Dec. 29, Grayscale Investments, the world’s largest digital asset manager, reportedly liquidated more than 9.18 million in XRP.

Ripple denounced the SEC’s action as “an attack on the entire crypto industry here in the United States” as the company’s CEO Brad Garlinghouse stated that he would continue to support its customers in the U.S. and globally.

More clarity in 2021?

All in all, corporations and institutional investors seeking an alternate store of value amid the ongoing COVID-19 crisis propelled crypto to record levels in 2020. Elsewhere, blockchain innovation continued on several fronts, including decentralized finance and CBDC development.

In the U.S., a wary SEC stymied digital token expansion, launching lawsuits against XRP and Telegram’s TON. A change of administration in Washington, including new SEC leadership, however, could bring more regulatory clarity in 2021.



from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/2L9WqVr

Number of People Holding Lots of Bitcoin Surges in Rare ‘Whale-Spawning Season’

The number of bitcoin whales rose to a new record high on Wednesday.

from CoinDesk https://ift.tt/37ZbuOz

Polkadot's founder looks back on the year, teases Substrate 3.0 in early 2021

Polkadot has recounted its gains in 2020, identifying its dominance of the crypto staking scene among other notable milestones for the year.

With 2021 less than 24 hours away, Polkadot creator Gavin Wood says the project has built up a head of steam heading into the new year. In a 2020 roundup published on Wednesday, Wood highlighted Polkadot’s rise to becoming the number crypto for staking based on the volume of staked tokens.

According to Stakingrewards.com, over 63% of the 1.02 billion DOT token supply is locked in staking wallets. This percentage amounts to about $5.2 billion in staked DOT “coins” based on the current token price.

Indeed, Polkadot is one of the best performing top-10 altcoins in December. Since the start of the month, the DOT token price has gained over 56% and is now the sixth-ranked cryptocurrency by market capitalization. Wood also highlighted the project’s achievements in the area of attaining full decentralization, adding:

“With 274 validators, run by around 200 independent operators and backed by over 7,000 individual nominating accounts, Polkadot is arguably the most decentralized high-value (and therefore secure) network in existence.”

As a multichain interoperability protocol, bridging and connectivity remain a major yardstick for determining the project’s successes. According to Wood, 2020 saw the emergence of projects like Acala and Moonbeam geared towards enabling Ethereum compatibility.

Acala is Polkadot’s foray into the decentralized finance, or DeFi, space while Moonbeam is an Ethereum-compatible toolkit for smart contract deployment.

Polkadot's blockchain building framework, Substrate, already showed protocol-level integration capabilities in 2020. Substrate 2.0 launched in August with features like "off-chain worker" allowing developers to access information from outside the blockchain without needing external oracles.

According to Wood, Polkadot's development in 2020 grew significantly with the community boasting over 100 teams and projects working on diverse use cases. “China alone has over 30 teams that are building systems, projects, and components for the Polkadot ecosystem,” Wood added in the 2020 roundup.

Back in November, China’s Blockchain Service Network added Polkadot to its list of supported public blockchains.

Addressing plans for the new year, Wood identified ongoing work on the cross-chain interoperability front as a major focus for 2021. According to the Polkadot founder, Substrate 3.0 which will bring Ethereum compatibility could launch before the end of the first half of next year.



from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/3naTK7n

Proposed FinCen Rule on Crypto Wallets Would Likely Be Ineffective, Elliptic Says

In its public response to the US Treasury Department’s proposed rule, the blockchain analytics firm has argued that they are likely to be ineffective and counterproductive.

from CoinDesk https://ift.tt/3n5JdtQ

The US has already lost the 2020 crypto regulation race to Europe

When it comes to crypto regulation, the United States is falling further behind more progressive and visionary nations.

2020 has been a stellar year for the crypto economy, with more enterprises and institutions than ever before implementing the technology. Big announcements, such as PayPal’s decision to enable its users to buy and sell Bitcoin (BTC), have understandably dominated the headlines. However, pivotal regulatory developments across the globe have largely flown under the radar and arguably present even greater significance for crypto in the long term.

Related: Will PayPal’s crypto integration bring crypto to the masses? Experts answer

The importance of clear regulatory frameworks cannot be overstated, with patchy and insufficient legislation offering a major barrier to enterprises looking to digital assets and distributed ledger technology. It is clear now that a number of jurisdictions in the European Union and Southeast Asia are leading the regulatory race, with clear taxonomies for digital assets in place — while the United States continues to play catch up.

A key European-wide development in 2020 has been the EU’s proposal for a common framework legislating for crypto assets across the 27 member states. The regulation on Markets in Crypto Assets, or MiCA, aims to provide legal certainty around the definitions of a number of types of digital assets and associated services, with a pilot regime for DLT market infrastructures due to take place soon.

Related: Chasing the hottest trends in crypto, the EU works to rein in stablecoins and DeFi

Germany

A number of European states are even further ahead, with Germany proving to be one of the most progressive states in the European Union. As of January 2020, the custody of crypto assets has been integrated into the German Banking Act as a regulated financial service that requires a dedicated license by Germany’s Federal Financial Supervisory Authority. As a result, many financial institutions are in advanced stages of their roadmap on a digital asset offering, and more than 40 institutions have expressed interest in applying for a custody license.

In August 2020, the German ministry of finance published a draft bill on electronic securities. This bill enables the issuance of digital bearer bonds on a DLT infrastructure without the requirement of a paper-based certificate and introduces the definition and regulated financial service of a decentralized securities register. The law is expected to be passed as early as in the second quarter of 2021, representing another significant step toward a comprehensive framework for digital assets in the country.

Switzerland

Switzerland has established itself as a crypto-friendly state, offering clear guidance on digital assets from an early stage in the life cycle of the technology. In September, Swiss parliamentarians voted to pass a wide-ranging set of financial and corporate law reforms around DLT technology. These laws, which are likely to come into effect early next year, will further open the doors to the adoption of digital assets in the country, as they update legislation regarding the trading of digital securities, the segregation of crypto-based assets in the event of bankruptcy, and create a new authorization category for “DLT trading facilities” (crypto exchanges).

Related: A guide to setting up a crypto business in Switzerland

Liechtenstein

Other European jurisdictions have also presented strong legal frameworks for the regulation of digital assets, with Liechtenstein breaking new ground in reportedly being the first country in Europe to bring into law an entirely new and comprehensive framework for the regulation of blockchain, digital ledger technology and tokens. The Law on Tokens and Trusted Technology Service Providers, which came into effect on Jan. 1, 2020, offers an innovative method for regulating blockchain technologies, which rather than integrating blockchain and digital assets into existing legal frameworks, allows for any right or asset to be packaged into a token, according to the Token Container Model.

The United States

In contrast to the clear legal frameworks adopted across Europe, the U.S., the global financial leader, remains a notable laggard in the provision of comprehensive crypto regulations. This divergence is already having a noticeable impact on the adoption of digital asset capabilities by institutions, with an acceleration in roadmaps taking place among institutions in jurisdictions where a clear licensing regime is in place. Tier one and tier two banks, such as Standard Chartered, BBVA and Gazprombank Switzerland, among others, have all publicly announced crypto custody offerings in recent months, and it is becoming clear that European banks have the potential to emerge as the preeminent global crypto leaders.

This trend is not going unnoticed by the U.S. banks that currently dominate global markets. Once U.S. regulators align and provide their banking sector with clear guidance, the market is also likely to see explosive growth in the United States. U.S. regulators have taken the first steps toward such clarity this year with Congress introducing the Crypto-Currency Act of 2020 in March, which provided some legal certainty in terms of defining types of digital assets and which regulatory body would be responsible for supervision.

Related: The US SEC amendments and SAFT process

In terms of digital asset custody, a major step forward took place in July, with the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency issuing a letter that authorized any regulated financial institution to provide cryptocurrency custody services, once appropriate risk management processes and controls were in place.

However, other U.S. regulatory bodies have remained largely silent, seemingly content to cede ground to jurisdictions in Europe and Asia. At the same time, rumors of regulatory measures, such as the ban of non-custodial wallets by the U.S. Treasury and the introduction of the Stable Act, which seeks to make stablecoins illegal without approvals from relevant government bodies, create a rather restrictive environment for digital assets.

If this lack of drive for constructive regulation and concrete guidance at the federal level remains, it will be interesting to see if individual states make moves toward legislating for digital assets at a local level. For example, the move by San Francisco-based crypto exchange Kraken to transition into the regulated space by acquiring a banking license in the state of Wyoming represents an interesting precursor of what may come next if federal authorities do not make regulatory strides and quickly.

While the signs are increasingly clear that U.S. regulators are waking up to the danger of getting left behind in the race for digital asset supremacy, it is becoming clearer and clearer that such a battle may already be lost, at least for this year.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Johannes Kaske is director of sales and business development at Metaco, where he is responsible for leading the strategy and implementation of Metaco’s sales operations across Germany. Prior to joining Metaco, he worked for the Bavarian State Ministry for Digital Affairs, where he was responsible for the state government’s blockchain strategy and led the Bavarian Center for Blockchain. Johannes graduated from ESADE Business School in Barcelona with a Master of Science in international management.


from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/3rGPZK2

'Rat poison squared' Bitcoin passes Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway by market cap

Bitcoin sees a fresh surge in trading activity as $30,000 nears and mainstream interest pours in.

Bitcoin (BTC) has posted its highest transaction volume since early 2018 as data points to more and more investors entering the market.

Figures from on-chain analytics resource Digital Assets Data highlights December 2020 as already sparking Bitcoin’s second-largest transaction volumes.

BTC transaction volume eyes record

At a total of $252.37 billion the remaining 24 hours of December may yet take the tally further still as it rivals December 2017.

Bitcoin transaction volume 1-month chart. Source: Digital Assets Data

Other indicators, such as the size of unprocessed transactions in Bitcoin’s mempool and network transaction fees, also suggest heightened activity overall.

As Cointelegraph additionally reported, wallets containing both large and small balances also continue to increase to never-before-seen levels.

Google Trends, meanwhile, has captured the highest levels of search interest in "Bitcoin" worldwide since February 2018.

Google search interest in "Bitcoin." Source: Google Trends

The reason, one which is attracting attention from mainstream sources as well as seasoned crypto traders, lies in the price bull run which continues unabated this week. At press time, Bitcoin was challenging $29,300 amid a stubborn refusal to consolidate lower.

On Dec. 30, the largest cryptocurrency surpassed the market cap of Berkshire Hathaway at $539 billion, the finance giant the CEO of which, Warren Buffett, famously likened Bitcoin to “rat poison squared.”

Ether continues to outperform

Despite its 290% year-to-date returns, however, Bitcoin still pales in comparison to the performance of the largest altcoin Ether (ETH). As Digital Assets Data confirms, ETH/USD has sealed gains of almost 500% since Jan. 1. Versus the March lows, performance is even stronger.

Bitcoin vs. Ether year-to-date returns chart. Source: Digital Assets Data

In a series of tweets on Wednesday, Bobby Ong, creator of price data site Coingecko, gave his predictions for the crypto market in 2021. Among the major tokens, Ether would see a return to higher transaction fees but pass its existing all-time high from 2018.

“ETH will break past its $1,500 ATH mainly driven by DeFi. Gas fees will skyrocket again and highlight scalability issues,” he wrote.

“Most of the year will be spent coordinating on a Layer 2 scalability solution. My bet will be on ZK Rollup gaining traction towards the end of the year.”

For Bitcoin, Ong forecast a price trajectory towards $100,000, alongside the launch of a long-awaited exchange-traded fund (ETF) and the first central bank adding Bitcoin to its balance sheet.



from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/34WpN4D

Wednesday, December 30, 2020

Xapo to Discontinue Service to US Customers in March

Companies are being asked to transfer their bitcoins to other places, such as Coinbase.

from CoinDesk https://ift.tt/37Yrssf

XRP the 'third largest collapse of all time' says The TIE’s Josh Frank

The token has lost more value than former commodities trading giant Enron.

The XRP token’s market capitalization has fallen almost $130 billion since its all-time high in 2018, making the cryptocurrency project’s decline comparable to the collapse of major financial institutions.

According to Josh Frank of crypto-focused research company The TIE, the project is experiencing a collapse similar to some of the biggest corporate scandals and catastrophes in recent history.

At its peak, XRP’s market capitalization was roughly $140 billion in January 2018. It has recently slipped under $10 billion, an estimated loss of $130 billion in under three years. This effectively makes the “collapse” of XRP third behind only the $327 billion bankruptcy of Washington Mutual and the failure of investment giant Lehman Brothers — a financial meltdown valued at $691 billion — in 2008.

“It is sad and unfortunate that the biggest losers in the [XRP] saga are the individual investors who lost unimaginable amounts of money,” Frank told Cointelegraph. “The founders of Ripple continued to dump their tokens for years and made hundreds of millions of dollars.”

Following the news that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commissions would charge Ripple, CEO Brad Garlinghouse and co-founder Chris Larsen with conducting an "unregistered, ongoing digital asset securities offering" for their XRP sales, the token price has dropped precipitousl. Crypto exchanges including Coinbase, Bittrex, OKCoin, Bitstamp, OSL, Beaxy, and CrossTower later announced they would suspend trading for XRP or delist the token entirely, providing additional bearish fuel.

Institutional players have also started distancing themselves from XRP. Grayscale Investments’ website now states that its “XRP Trust private placement is currently closed" with one Twitter user claiming the firm would also no longer process pending applications for the XRP Trust.

At the time of publication, the price of XRP is $0.21, having fallen more than 65% in the last 30 days.



from Cointelegraph.com News https://ift.tt/2KRWqJE