Monday, February 28, 2022

2 key derivatives metrics signal that Bitcoin traders expect BTC to hold $40K

The entire crypto market is green on Feb. 28, and derivatives metrics suggest that BTC's bullish reversal will flip $40,000 back to support.

Whenever Bitcoin (BTC) fails to break through important resistance levels, traders gain confidence and add to their altcoin positions. The logic is that, unless BTC drops significantly, these movements historically provide decent rewards for those shifting their portfolios toward higher risk.

Bitcoin/USD at FTX. Source: TradingView

In the past seven days, the aggregate market capitalization performance of the cryptocurrency market showed a modest 3% increase to $1.78 trillion. This number is roughly in line with the performance seen from Bitcoin, Ether (ETH) and BNB.

However, comparing the winners and losers among the top-80 coins provides skewed results. For instance, while the gainers captured a positive 24.9% move on average, the worst performers dropped by 5.9%.

Weekly winners and losers among the top-80 coins. Source: Nomics

Terra (LUNA) rallied 52% on the week after the nonprofit organization supporting the Terra blockchain ecosystem sold $1 billion worth of tokens on Feb. 22. Luna Foundation raised money from Three Arrows Capital and Jump Crypto, a trading group that earlier assisted Solana's Wormhole cross-bridge platform by replenishing their stolen $300 million in Ether.

On Feb. 21, WAVES gained 50.7% after announcing a partnership with Allbridge that makes the protocol cross-chain interoperable and supportive of the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM) and non-EVM chains like NEAR Protocol, Solana (SOL) and Terra (LUNA).

Arweave (AR) rallied 28.5% in seven days after Bundlr Network released a high-volume Twitter archiver tool on Feb. 21. The system allows users to store tweets and linked media directly onto Arweave's permanent storage.

Lastly, QuickSwap, the Uniswap (UNI) implementation on the Polygon network, became the largest decentralized exchange DEX protocol by volume, reaching a $40 million daily average in February. Uniswap (UNI) token gained 14.4% over the past seven days, while Polygon (MATIC) rallied 8.5%.

The Tether premium reflects low retail demand

The OKX Tether (USDT) premium is a good gauge of China-based retail trader crypto demand. It measures the difference between China-based peer-to-peer trades and the official U.S. dollar currency.

Excessive buying demand tends to pressure the indicator above fair value at 100%, and during bearish markets, Tether's market offer is flooded, causing a 4% or higher discount.

Tether (USDT) peer-to-peer vs. USD/CNY. Source: OKX

Currently, the Tether premium stands at 100.3%, which is neutral. Still, there has been a consistent improvement in 2022. This data signals that retail demand is picking up, which is positive considering that the total cryptocurrency capitalization dropped 19% between Jan. 1 and Feb. 28.

Futures markets confirm a lack of "euphoria"

Perpetual contracts, also known as inverse swaps, have an embedded rate usually charged every eight hours. Exchanges use this fee to avoid exchange risk imbalances.

A positive funding rate indicates that longs (buyers) demand more leverage. However, the opposite situation occurs when shorts (sellers) require additional leverage, causing the funding rate to turn negative.

Accumulated perpetual futures funding rate on Feb. 28. Source: Coinglass

As depicted above, the accumulated 7-day funding rate is slightly negative in most cases. This data indicates slightly higher demand from shorts (sellers), but it is insignificant. For example, Luna's negative 0.65% weekly rate equals 2.8% per month, a figure th is not too concerning for futures traders.

Had there been a relevant risk appetite from shorts, the rate would be above 1% per week or equivalent to 4.6% per month.

Perpetual futures are retail traders' preferred derivatives because their price tends to track regular spot markets perfectly. Therefore, despite the negative 19% crypto performance in 2022, the neutral Tether premium and the funding rate should be interpreted as positive.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.



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Bitcoin climbs to $41K and flippens the Russian ruble

The Central Bank of Russia reported the country's money supply was 65.3 trillion rubles as of Feb. 1 — roughly $629 billion with the recent drop against the U.S. dollar.

After climbing to a price of more than $41,000 on Monday, Bitcoin’s market capitalization has surpassed that of the Russian ruble. 

According to data from CoinMarketCap, the market cap of Bitcoin (BTC) surged to roughly $780 billion on Monday amid the price rising to $41,391, a 5.7% increase over the last 24 hours. BTC’s market capitalization exceeds the money supply of the Russian ruble, which according to the Central Bank of Russia, was 65.3 trillion rubles as of Feb. 1 — roughly $629 billion at the time of publication.

Russian ruble notes. Source: Pexels

The flippening likely occurred as the Russian ruble is undergoing inflation amid sanctions imposed by the United States and its allies in response to the country’s invasion of Ukraine. Reuters reported the central bank raised its key interest rate from 9.5% to 20% on Monday, and the European Commission has announced plans to remove Russian banks from the SWIFT payments system. 

In contrast, many residents of both Russia and Ukraine seem to have driven trading activity up on exchanges, possibly over concerns about the stability of their countries’ respective fiat currency and using crypto as a means to solicit donations for pro-Ukraine causes. Cointelegraph reported on Feb. 24 — the same day Russian forces launched their attack — the Ukraine-based crypto exchange Kuna had roughly $4.4 million in total trading volume of all tokens over 24 hours.

Related: Bitcoin flippens Tesla and Facebook — Will Amazon be next?

The most recent flippening came more than one year after the price of BTC surged to a then all-time high of $48,200 following news Tesla had purchased an aggregate of $1.5 billion in the crypto asset. Bitcoin’s market cap rose to $871 billion, surpassing that of the Russian ruble, then roughly $791 billion. 



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Price analysis 2/28: BTC, ETH, BNB, XRP, ADA, SOL, AVAX, LUNA, DOGE, DOT

Bitcoin and altcoins surprised investors with a sharp bullish breakout on Feb. 28, signaling a possible change in the short-term trend.

Bitcoin (BTC) soared above $40,000 on Feb. 28 even though the S&P 500 remained soft. This suggests that the correlation between Bitcoin and the U.S. equity markets may be showing the first signs of decoupling. If bulls sustain the price above $38,500 till the end of the day, Bitcoin would avoid four successive months of decline.

The volatility of the past few days does not seem to have shaken the resolve of the long-term investors planning to stick with their positions. Data from on-chain analytics firm Glassnode showed that the amount of Bitcoin supply that last moved between three to five years ago soared to more than 2.8 million Bitcoin, which is a four-year high.

Daily cryptocurrency market performance. Source: Coin360

Interestingly, an experiment by Portuguese software developer Tiago Vasconcelos to develop an artificial intelligence trading bot for Bitcoin resulted in the bot concluding that “the best move is to buy as soon as possible and never sell!”

Could bulls sustain the momentum and push Bitcoin toward the next overhead resistance? Will altcoins also join the party? Let’s analyze the charts of the top-10 cryptocurrencies to find out.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin turned down from the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) ($40,261) on Feb. 26 but the bears could not pull the price below $37,000. The price rebounded sharply on Feb. 28 and the bulls have cleared the overhead hurdle at the 50-day SMA.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If bulls sustain the price above the 50-day SMA, the BTC/USDT pair could start its northward journey toward the resistance line of the channel. The bears are expected to mount a strong defense at this level. The bulls will have to push the pair above the channel to indicate that the correction may be over.

The 20-day exponential moving average (EMA) ($39,813) is flattening out and the relative strength index (RSI) has risen to just above the midpoint. This indicates that the bulls are attempting a strong comeback.

This positive view will invalidate in the short term if the price fails to sustain above the moving averages. The pair could then again drop to the support line of the channel.

ETH/USDT

Ether (ETH) turned down from the 50-day SMA ($2,865) and dropped to the support line of the triangle indicating that higher levels continue to attract selling by the bears.

ETH/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price has rebounded off the support line of the triangle but the bulls will have to push and sustain the ETH/USDT pair above the 50-day SMA to signal a possible change in the short-term trend. If that happens, the pair could rally to the resistance line of the triangle.

Conversely, if the price turns down from the moving averages, it will suggest that the bears continue to sell at higher levels. That will increase the possibility of a break below the triangle. A close below the triangle could open the doors for a possible retest at $2,300.

BNB/USDT

BNB turned down from the 20-day EMA ($385) on Feb. 26 but the price has rebounded sharply off the strong support at $350 on Feb. 28. This indicates that the price is stuck between these two levels.

BNB/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

Both moving averages are sloping down and the RSI is just below the midpoint, indicating that bears have a slight edge. If the price turns down from the 20-day EMA, the possibility of a break below $350 increases. If that happens, the BNB/USDT pair could drop to the $330 to $320 support zone.

Conversely, if the price rises from the current level and breaks above the moving averages, it will indicate that the bulls are attempting a comeback. The pair could then rally to $445.

XRP/USDT

Ripple (XRP) turned down from the downtrend line on Feb. 26, indicating that bears are defending this resistance with vigor. A minor positive is that the bulls are defending the support at the 50-day SMA ($0.72).

XRP/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

If the price maintains above $0.75, the bulls will again attempt to push and sustain the XRP/USDT pair above the downtrend line. If they succeed, it could clear the path for a possible rally to $0.91.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the current level, the bears will try to pull the pair below $0.68. If that happens, the pair could retest the Feb. 24 intraday low at $0.62. The flattish moving averages and the RSI just above the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears.

ADA/USDT

The bulls have sustained Cardano (ADA) above $0.82 in the past few days but are struggling to push the price to the breakdown level at $1. This indicates that demand dries up at higher levels.

ADA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The longer the price sustains below the moving averages, the greater the possibility of a retest of the recent intraday low at $0.74. If this support cracks, the downtrend could resume and the ADA/USDT pair could plunge to $0.68.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price rises and breaks above $1, it will suggest that the markets have rejected the lower levels. The pair could then rise to the resistance line of the descending channel. The bulls will have to push and sustain the price above the channel to indicate that the downtrend may have ended.

SOL/USDT

Solana (SOL) has been sandwiched between the 20-day EMA ($94) and the strong support at $81 but this tight range trading is unlikely to continue for long.

SOL/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The RSI is showing signs of forming a positive divergence, signaling that the bearish momentum may be slowing. If bulls push and sustain the price above the 20-day EMA, the SOL/USDT pair could rise to the resistance line of the descending channel.

A break and close above the channel will be the first indication that the bears may be losing their grip. The pair could then rise to the overhead resistance at $122. This positive view will invalidate on a break and close below $81.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche (AVAX) has been oscillating near the moving averages for the past three days. Although bulls pushed the price above the moving averages on Feb. 25, they could not sustain the higher levels. Strong selling pulled the price back below the moving averages on Feb. 27.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls are currently attempting to sustain the price above the moving averages. If they manage to do that, the AVAX/USDT pair could rally to the downtrend line of the descending channel. This level could act as a stiff resistance but if bulls overcome it, the pair will indicate that the downtrend may have ended.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance, it will suggest that bears continue to sell on rallies. The bears could gain strength if the price slips below $64.

Related: eBay to add crypto payment options soon, says CEO

LUNA/USDT

Terra’s LUNA token turned down from $80 but the bulls successfully defended the immediate support at $70. This indicates that traders are accumulating on every minor dip.

LUNA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The buying picked up momentum on Feb. 28 and the bulls pushed the price above the overhead resistance at $70. The upsloping 20-day EMA ($62) and the RSI in the overbought territory indicate that bulls are in control.

The LUNA/USDT pair could now rise to $90 where the bears may again mount a strong resistance. A break and close above this level could propel the pair to the all-time high at $103.

Conversely, if the price turns down from $90, the pair could again drop to $70 and consolidate between these two levels for a few days.

DOGE/USDT

Dogecoin (DOGE) has been struggling to bounce off the strong support at $0.12, indicating a lack of urgency among bulls to buy at higher levels.

DOGE/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The longer the price clings to the strong support at $0.12 without a strong bounce, the greater the possibility of a breakdown. If the bears pull the price below $0.12, the DOGE/USDT pair could retest the psychological support at $0.10.

This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if it cracks, the selling could intensify further and the pair could slide to $0.06. The first sign of strength will be a break and close above the 50-day SMA ($0.14). That could result in a rally to $0.17.

DOT/USDT

Polkadot’s (DOT) recovery stalled at the downtrend line, indicating that the sentiment remains negative and traders are selling on rallies to strong resistance levels.

DOT/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price could remain stuck between the downtrend line and $14 for the next few days. If bears pull the price below $14, the DOT/USDT pair could resume its downtrend and decline to the strong support at $10.

The buyers will have to push and sustain the price above the downtrend line to signal that the bears may be losing their grip. The pair could then rally to the overhead resistance at $23 where the bears may mount a strong defense.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.



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Neo users explain why they've held on to the project despite China's heavy crypto crackdown

"I didn't worry too much. I knew the developer team, the community supporting Neo wasn't going to quit," said Neo investor Lucas.

It's been a wild ride for Neo (dubbed by some as "Ethereum of China") investors in the past few years, especially as China began to incrementally introduce harsher crypto regulations. But despite the odds, the community appears to be resilient, with a dedicated society of developers worldwide and a bourgeoning decentralized finance, or DeFi, hub that came into prominence via the launch of Neo N3 mainnet last year. 

As told by Neo investors Lucas and Jiří, who spoke to Cointelegraph, they were not expecting such a "huge drop in price" for Neo. Still, they nevertheless decided to hold their Neo tokens through all the price turmoil, citing the project developers' dedication to its underlying technology. Lucas said:

"I know a bunch of Neo developer communities that are located across the world. They're not going to stop the project just because one country doesn't agree with their vision."

When asked about what made Neo's DeFi applications particularly attractive, compared to other alternatives, Jiří said:

"For Flamingo Finance, you could follow any steps on the roadmap they are preparing and what will be going next. They always kept the deadlines, or there was some reasonable justification for a delay. So I really like the transparency of the process of how the platform was evolving."

Flamingo Finance is a platform for converting crypto, earning yields, and providing liquidity. The project migrated to Neo N3 in Q4 of 2021. According to DeFi Llama, Flamingo Finance has approximately $80 million in total value locked. Lucas, who is also a user of Flamingo Finance, added: 

"They really focused on their on their user base. A while ago, they released a feature where you could claim different DeFi pools. I asked the team for a "claim all" button so that I don't have to spend time clicking the different pools to claim rewards. Within a few days, that feature was implemented."

On Monday, Neo also announced a partnership with E.U. social economy network Diesis, which has a support network of 90,000 organizations, and 1.2 million workers across 21 countries. Through the deal, Neo will help the latter develop blockchain solutions using Neo N3 ecosystem's decentralized file storage, NeoID. Luca Pastorelli, President of Diesis Network, commented:

"Neo pioneered the dBFT [delegated Byzantine Fault Tolerance] consensus mechanism, so there is no mining on Neo. And N3 being an all-in-one development experience makes it the ideal blockchain partner for a global social and solidarity economy network."


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Sunday, February 27, 2022

Top 5 cryptocurrencies to watch this week: BTC, LUNA, AVAX, ATOM, FTM

Crypto markets are expected to remain volatile for the foreseeable future, but BTC’s battle to reclaim $40,000 could be followed with rallies from LUNA, AVAX, ATOM and FTM.

The geopolitical news flow is likely to result in volatile moves in Bitcoin (BTC) and altcoins in the next few days. News of Russian President Vladimir Putin ordering the nuclear deterrence forces on high alert may be viewed as a negative, but reports of talks between the warring nations could be positive as it raises hopes of an end to the conflict.

The crypto community came into focus as the Ukrainian government called for help and sought crypto donations. Some individuals on social media said their Ukrainian credit cards had stopped working and they were not able to withdraw money from their banks. They highlighted how crypto was the only money left with them.

Crypto market data daily view. Source: Coin360

While some analysts are projecting that Bitcoin may have bottomed out, Cointelegraph contributor Marcel Pechman warned that derivatives data remains inconclusive. Similarly, Ether futures data was also not painting a hugely bullish picture.

The near-term price action will be dictated by the developments in the Russia-Ukraine war. Let’s study the charts of the top-5 cryptocurrencies that may lead the recovery on news of a peaceful resolution to the ongoing conflict.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin’s rebound off the Feb. 24 intraday low at $34,322 reached the moving averages on Feb. 26 where the bears are mounting a strong resistance. However, a minor positive is that the bulls have not given up much ground.

BTC/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages are flattening out and the relative strength index (RSI) is attempting to rise to the midpoint, signaling that bulls are making a comeback. If bulls drive and sustain the price above the moving averages, the BTC/USDT pair could rally to the overhead resistance at $45,821. This level is likely to attract strong selling by the bears.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from the moving averages, the pair could consolidate between $39,600 and $36,250 for a few days. A break and close below this support could open the doors for a possible drop to $32,900.

BTC/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 4-hour chart shows that the price has been trading in a tight range between $38,200 and $39,600. The rising 20-exponential moving average and the RSI just above the midpoint indicate a minor advantage to buyers.

A breakout and close above $39,600 could push the price to $41,000 and thereafter to $42,000. The bears are likely to mount a strong resistance in this zone.

If the price turns down from this zone but does not dip back below $39,600, it will suggest that the sentiment has changed from sell on rallies to buy on dips. That could increase the prospects of the continuation of the up-move.

Conversely, a break and close below $38,200 will indicate aggressive selling near $39,600. The pair could then again drop toward $36,250.

LUNA/USDT

Terra’s LUNA token picked up bullish momentum after breaking and closing above the downtrend line. Strong buying pushed the price above the minor resistance at $70 on Feb. 25.

LUNA/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages are on the verge of a bullish crossover but the RSI is near the overbought zone. This suggests that bulls have the upper hand but the LUNA/USDT pair could witness a minor correction or consolidation in the near term.

On the downside, the bulls are likely to defend the breakout level at $70 and below that the 20-day EMA ($60). If the price rebounds off either support, the pair could extend its rally to $90 where the bears may again offer stiff resistance. This bullish view will be negated on a break and close below the 20-day EMA.

LUNA/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The 4-hour chart shows that the pair had been trading between $47 and $60 for many days. A break and close above $60 signaled the start of a possible new up-move. The 20-EMA is sloping up and the RSI is in the positive zone, indicating advantage to buyers.

If bulls defend the 20-EMA, the possibility of the continuation of the uptrend increases. The pair could then rise above $80 and later rally to the overhead resistance zone between $84 to $87. Conversely, if the price turns down and slips below $70, the pair could drop to $64.

AVAX/USDT

Avalanche (AVAX) has been trading inside the descending channel for the past few days. The price broke below the moving averages on Feb. 20 but the bulls reclaimed the level on Feb. 25, indicating strong buying at lower levels.

AVAX/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls will now attempt to push the price to the downtrend line of the descending channel. This is an important level to watch out for because a break and close above it will indicate a possible change in trend. The AVAX/USDT pair could first rally to $100 and thereafter start an up-move to $120.

Alternatively, if the price turns down from the downtrend line, the pair could drop to the moving averages. If the price rebounds off this level, the possibility of a break above the channel increases.

This bullish view will invalidate if the price turns down from the current level or the overhead resistance and breaks below $70.

AVAX/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The price has been trading between the overhead resistance at $83 and the moving averages. The 20-EMA is flattening out and the RSI is near the midpoint, indicating a balance between supply and demand.

This balance will shift in favor of the bears if they pull the price below $76. The pair could then drop to the next support at $73. Alternatively, if the price rebounds off the current level and breaks above $83, the pair could pick up momentum and rally to the overhead resistance zone at $97 to $100.

Related: Terra's Mirror Protocol MIR rebounds 40% two days after crashing to record low

ATOM/USDT

Cosmos (ATOM) rebounded from the strong support at $20 on Feb. 24. This indicates that traders are attempting to keep the $20 to $45 range intact.

ATOM/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The price rose above the 20-day EMA ($27) on Feb. 26 and the bulls are attempting to sustain the ATOM/USDT pair above this level. The 20-day EMA is flattening out and the RSI is just above the midpoint, indicating that bulls are attempting a comeback.

If bulls drive and sustain the price above the 50-day simple moving average ($31), the pair could rally to $37. Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and slips below the 20-day EMA, it will suggest that bears are defending the overhead resistance at the 50-day SMA. The pair could then drop to $24.

ATOM/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The bulls have pushed the price above the moving averages and the downtrend line on the 4-hour chart. The 20-EMA has started to turn up and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that bulls have the upper hand.

If the pair sustains above the downtrend line, the bulls will attempt to clear the barrier at $31 and push the price to $34. Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down and slips below the 20-EMA, the pair may drop to the 50-SMA.

FTM/USDT

Fantom (FTM) has been trading inside a large range between $1.24 and $3.38 for the past several months. The price rebounded sharply off the support of the range on Feb. 24, indicating that bulls continue to buy at this level.

FTM/USDT daily chart. Source: TradingView

The rebound has reached the 20-day EMA ($1.82) which is acting as a strong resistance. If bulls drive and sustain the price above this level, the FTM/USDT pair could reach the 50-day SMA ($2.18). A break above this level could clear the path for a possible up-move to $2.60.

Contrary to this assumption, if the price turns down from this level, the pair could consolidate between the 20-day EMA and $1.24 for a few more days. The critical level to watch on the downside is $1.24 because if this level cracks, the pair could start a new downtrend.

FTM/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The moving averages have completed a bullish crossover on the 4-hour chart indicating that the short-term downtrend could be over. If the price rebounds off the moving averages, it will suggest that traders are buying on dips.

The buyers will then attempt to push and sustain the price above the downtrend line. If they manage to do that, the pair could rise to $2.14 and then to $2.40. This positive view will invalidate in the short term if the pair sustains below the moving averages. Such a move will indicate that bears are active at higher levels.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.



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Inside the blockchain developers’ mind: Building a free-to-use social DApp

What are the limitations that are preventing DApps’ mainstream adoption and is it possible to make totally free-to-use decentralized applications?

Cointelegraph is following the development of an entirely new blockchain from inception to mainnet and beyond through its series, Inside the Blockchain Developer’s Mind, written by Andrew Levine of Koinos Group.

In my first article in this series, I explained why Ethereum and Steem haven’t been able to deliver a mainstream social decentralized application (DApp). In my second article, I explained how EOS attempted to combine features of both chains but it did so in a way that still required users to buy high-priced random-access memory (RAM) for accounts and smart contracts.

In this article, I want to take a different approach to this problem, not based on comparisons to existing platforms but based on first principles. Instead of constraining our imaginations based on the limitations of the earliest attempts at general-purpose blockchains, let’s, instead, look at the problem from the developer’s perspective. What do they need in order to deliver the user experience that mainstream users require? In my previous article, I described this as “fee-less without exceptions.” In other words, they want totally free-to-use applications.

Building a free-to-use DApp from first principles

The very first thing that a user will need to use an application of any kind is an account, so introducing a fee here would immediately create a negative user experience. We want to minimize friction for the user so that we can maximize virality — we certainly don’t want to force them to buy an account. But, we don’t want to solve this problem by simply forcing the developer to pay that account creation cost because this will increase their costs.

Related: Gas-free transactions will revolutionize Web3

This problem is an easy one because it has already been solved by Bitcoin and Ethereum, both of which allow users to create addresses for free. Thinking from first principles then, if we don’t want developers or end-users to have to pay for accounts, we need a blockchain with addresses that function as accounts.

Who pays?

Using Bitcoin or Ethereum-style addresses allows us to create accounts without either the end-user or the DApp developer having to eat the fee. Great. But, now we want people to actually use the decentralized application which means that we want them to run a computer program on a decentralized computer and consume some of the computer’s resources. We want to let them do something that will have a real-world cost that someone has to pay. It’s just a matter of who, right? Well, this assumes that there is only one way to charge people.

This is precisely where first-principles thinking provides so much value. Fees are the traditional way we charge people for using blockchains, so if we just assume that this is the only solution then the only conceivable option becomes who pays the fee, not whether there is an alternative approach to the problem.

Related: The power of cheap transactions: Can Solana's growth outpace Ethereum?

Charging opportunity cost

Taking people’s money is one way to impose a cost (i.e. decreasing their token balance) but there is another kind of cost: opportunity cost. Taking people’s ability to use their tokens (i.e. their money).

If we could create a decentralized system for “charging” people to use the blockchain, not by taking their tokens, but by taking away their ability to use their tokens (for a period of time), then we could allow them to use the blockchain without taking any of their tokens.

Not only that, but once that period of time is over, they could choose to use the blockchain more, meaning that they wouldn’t have to constantly be buying more tokens just to be able to continue using the application they love. This would dramatically increase user retention and further maximize growth.

Video game experience

We now have a mechanism for charging users that doesn’t feel like a fee, but our objective is to deliver a mainstream user experience. Requiring people to consciously lock cryptocurrency tokens before they can use an application is not a mainstream user experience.

If we can’t require people to consciously lock tokens, that means we need a system that allows people to simply use the blockchain without any thought. All that means is that the system has to decide the size of the opportunity cost instead of the user. Taking this decision out of the hands of the user allows us to design the system so that the size of the opportunity cost is as low as possible, all while maintaining economic sustainability. This gives the user confidence that they are never “overpaying” (even if it is only an opportunity cost) while again maximizing growth by lowering barriers. The cheaper transactions are, the less they feel like fees — the better the user experience — and the faster we can expect the user base to grow.

Of course, the user deserves to know how much of their tokens will be locked if they choose to perform the action. What we want is basically a mana bar from a video game. The user should be able to see how much free usage of the blockchain they have based on the liquid tokens that they have in their wallet. When they go to perform some action that consumes blockchain resources, they should be able to see how much of their mana will decrease when they perform the action. If they find that cost acceptable, they simply perform the action, such as minting a nonfungible token (NFT), their mana is consumed and the right amount of tokens are locked for the set period of time. Wouldn’t that be great?

The final barrier

There is one last problem: With the system we have described, the end-user still has to have some tokens in their wallet. Generally, that means that they still have to make a purchase (of tokens) before they can use the application. While we still have a pretty good user experience, telling people they have to spend money before they can use an app is a barrier to entry and winds up feeling a whole lot like a fee. I would know, this is exactly what happened on our previous blockchain, Steem.

To solve that problem, we added a feature called “delegation” which would allow people with tokens (e.g. developers) to delegate their mana (called Steem Power) to their users. This way, end-users could use Steem-based applications even if they didn’t have any of the native token STEEM.

But, that design was very tailored to Steem, which did not have smart contracts and required users to first buy accounts. The biggest problem with delegations is that there was no way to control what a user did with that delegation. Developers want people to be able to use their DApps for free so that they can maximize growth and generate revenue in some other way like a subscription or through in-game item sales. They don’t want people taking their delegation to trade in decentralized finance (DeFi) or using it to play some other developer’s great game like Splinterlands.

We want users to be able to use a specific DApp without having to buy tokens first, and, as always, we don’t want the developer to have to spend any money to make this happen. That last part is tough because the traditional way to solve this problem is by designing the smart contract so that the developer can choose to pay the fee instead of the user. But, remember, we’ve already solved this problem because no one is paying a fee for anything, just an opportunity cost. As long as the developer has tokens, they can choose to pay the “mana” that someone needs to use their application.

Free for developers?

But, what if the developer doesn’t want to buy tokens? What if they have an existing application with a thriving user base that the platform would be lucky to attract? It’s in the best interest of large token holders to attract high quality developers to a platform so they can just do the same thing. The stakeholder could let the developer set them (the stakeholder) as the “payer” of mana for the developer’s smart contracts.

The stakeholder isn’t losing any money by doing this but they’re still able to deploy their capital to support value creation and growth, which is great. If the stakeholder provides their mana to a developer whose app adds tremendous value to the platform, then the value of their token holdings will go up. If the developer’s app doesn’t add value, the stakeholder has an incentive to stop providing their mana to that developer and find someone else who can make better use of their mana.

We have now figured out not only how to make a DApp free-to-use for the end-user, as an added bonus we have figured out how to make the blockchain free-to-use for developers while giving large stakeholders a way to invest in growth and value creation without sacrificing any of their token holdings.

Impossible?

But, all of this is just in theory right? Actually, no. What I’ve described here is exactly how we’re building Koinos. In fact, all of these features are already live on our current testnet with the third and final version of the testnet coming soon. If you want to learn more about mana, you can read the white paper here.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.

The views, thoughts and opinions expressed here are the author’s alone and do not necessarily reflect or represent the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.

Andrew Levine is the CEO of Koinos Group, a team of industry veterans accelerating decentralization through accessible blockchain technology. Their foundational product is Koinos, a fee-less and infinitely upgradeable blockchain with universal language support.


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Bitcoin fails to beat resistance as $40K stays out of reach into weekly close

A dark week looms for macro markets while the weekend succeeds in providing some respite for crypto traders.

Bitcoin (BTC) faced down $40,000 on Feb. 27 as hopes for the weekly close hinged on avoiding a fourth red monthly candle in a row.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Tensions mount for TradFi markets open

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD making several attempts to break out of the $30,000-$40,000 corridor Sunday, all of which ended in rejection.

The pair had stayed broadly higher throughout the weekend, cutting traders some slack after a week of volatility at the hands of geopolitics and media headlines.

Now, $38,500 was the level to watch for Bitcoin to close out the week and the month — failure to do so would mean a fourth straight monthly red candle.

As Cointelegraph reported, bulls were spared a lower low last week, despite the downside move on the Ukraine invasion, bottoming out at $34,300 versus $32,800 in January.

"Cautiously optimistic this is a short to mid-term bottom for BTC," popular trader and analyst Pentoshi continued.

"I pulled my 40.3k orders (not great) and will focus higher to 41.6k for de-risking. Must flip that and there's some pretty decent upside. I am still cautious bc the macro landscape imo is anything but bullish."

That macro landscape was poised to deliver a fresh bout of uncertainty on Monday's open thanks to moves by the West to cut Russian banks off from off-shore liquidity and the SWIFT payment system.

A mention of Russia's nuclear deterrent by president Vladimir Putin likewise ruffled feathers over the weekend, with Ukraine and Russia beginning negotiations on the Belarusian border Sunday.

For Bitcoin proponents, meanwhile, the potential knock-on impact of Russian financial sanctions and the cryptocurrency's status as a neutral network for value transfer began to take center stage.

"Still processing the implications," former Coinbase CTO Balaji Srinivasan wrote as part of a Twitter response about freezing the central bank assets.

"This is a financial neutron bomb. Bankrupts people without blowing up buildings. Hits all 145M Russians at once, every ruble holder. In a maximalist scenario, possible collapse of the Russian economy."

On its part, Ukraine began to accept donations for its army in Bitcoin, Ether (ETH), and Tether (USDT). Its wallets had received over 91 BTC ($3.57 million), as well as 1,797 ETH ($5.02 million) and $1 million in USDT at the time of writing.

Weekend stays "boring" for crypto

For crypto markets overall, however, there were few opportunities as sentiment remained very much in "wait and see" mode.

Related: Ethereum to $10K? Classic bullish reversal pattern hints at potential ETH price rally

Out of the top ten cryptocurrencies by market cap, none managed noticeable moves up or down over the past 24 hours.

ETH/USD traded at near $2,800, with weekly gains nonetheless approaching 6%.

ETH/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

"Pretty boring market movements during the weekend and that’s not weird," Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe summarized.

"Probably approaching a very hectic & volatile week with the war in Ukraine. Don’t go ham on your positions, just play it slow. Sentiment and momentum can switch fast due to these political events."


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Saturday, February 26, 2022

Dogecoin co-founder slams memecoins, DAO aims to buy Denver Broncos, and BTC tourism surges 30% in El Salvador: Hodler’s Digest, Feb. 20-26

Coming every Saturday, Hodlers Digest will help you track every single important news story that happened this week. The best (and worst) quotes, adoption and regulation highlights, leading coins, predictions and much more a week on Cointelegraph in one link.

Top Stories This Week

Former Cisco employee launches DAO to buy Denver Broncos

A freshly launched decentralized autonomous organization dubbed BuyTheBroncosDAO is aiming to raise enough capital to purchase the NFLs Denver Broncos for roughly $4 billion.

The project is offering fans of various levels of wealth the chance to own a slice of the Broncos, as there is no minimum requirement on how much they need to contribute to participate to the DAO.

The purpose, essentially, is to establish an infrastructure so that fans from all walks of life can be owners of the Denver Broncos, one of the DAOs organizers and former Cisco employee Sean OBrien told CNBC earlier this week.

 

 

 

Dogecoin founder speaks out against meme coins

Dogecoin co-founder Billy Markus blasted memecoin shillers this week, slamming projects that are not about memes or the community but are instead made by people trying to get rich off of other people trying to get rich.

Satire has some mildly clever elements to it. jokes are funny. spam advertising, lying about who is involved in a project, making up ridiculous promises, desperately trying to get Elons attention to promote you, etc. are not clever or amusing, he said on Twitter.

Markus highlighted Binance Smart Chain tokens, in particular, arguing that they have made the internet worse in every way, as he pointed to the mass amount of spammers who flood social media platforms with their dubious crypto advertisements.

 

Bitcoin plunges as Putin announces ‘special military operation’ in Ukraine

The crypto market tanked on Thursday following reports that the Russian government had invaded Ukraine, with assets such as Bitcoin, Ether and XRP dropping 7.3%, 9.5% and 9.2% respectively.

The news of the invasion sparked major pushback from people across the globe, including members of the crypto community. Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin, who was born in Russia, condemned the move on Twitter, stating:

This is a crime against the Ukrainian and Russian people. I want to wish everyone security, although I know that there will be no security. Glory to Ukraine.

By Friday, crypto markets reversed their post-Russian invasion declines after the United States announced it would be implementing sanctions against major Russian banks.

 

 

 

Trudeau revokes emergencies act powers but the case for crypto grows

Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau walked back the use of the Emergencies Act on Thursday. The order was invoked in the wake of mass protests across the country, including at critical border crossings between the United States and Canada. The order allowed the government to freeze $8 million from 210 bank accounts connected to Canadian Freedom Convoy protestors.

The highly contentious situation in Canada appears to be calming down now, however, with Trudeau noting that we are confident that existing laws and bylaws are now sufficient to keep people safe.

The move to invoke the Emergencies Act one week prior caused a lot of pushback and debate; it also reiterated the viability of crypto, as the protestors were able to fundraise around 21 BTC after being shut off from banks and popular crowdfunding platforms such as GoFundMe.

 

Tourism in El Salvador up 30% since Bitcoin adoption, minister says

Earlier this week Salvadoran Tourism Minister Morena Valdez claimed that the nations tourism industry surged more than 30% since the adoption of the Bitcoin Law in September 2021.

In particular, Valdez stated that the influx of tourists from the U.S. has increased significantly to represent 60% of all travelers heading to the country at the tail end of 2021.

We did a poll to check the activity according to the before and after of Bitcoin. The tourism sector increased in November and December. This increased by more than 30%, Valdez said in an interview with the local news agency El Salvador News English.

 

 

 

Winners and Losers

 

At the end of the week, Bitcoin (BTC) is at $39,335, Ether (ETH) at $2,718 and XRP at $0.71. The total market cap is at $1.76 trillion, according to CoinMarketCap.

Among the largest 100 cryptocurrencies, the top three altcoin gainers of the week are Anchor Protocol (ANC) at 63.75%, Terra (LUNA) at 32.59% and Maker (MKR) at 4.13%.

The top three altcoin losers of the week are Convex Finance (CVX) at -27.07%, Harmony (ONE) at -19.65% and Oasis Network (ROSE) at -19.41%.

For more info on crypto prices, make sure to read Cointelegraphs market analysis.

 

 

 

 

Most Memorable Quotations

 

Politicians who oppose Bitcoin are of the same brand as those who opposed the internet. Its also an indicator of where theyre getting their money.

Aarika Rhodes, elementary school teacher and congressional candidate

 

Companies won’t hesitate to spend tens of millions on marketing but won’t spend a fraction of it on making sure there is something left to market.

Tree of Alpha, Twitter personality

 

It is interesting to note the deep bullishness for cryptocurrencies. Even in an extremely bearish crypto market in which values were to drop 80%, less than half of investors say they would reduce their investments or exit the market.

Marion Laboure, director of macro strategy and thematic research at Deutsche Bank

 

Im not entirely sure what the SEC is planning on proving in the XRP litigation.

Joseph Hall, attorney and former managing executive for policy at the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission

 

If youre not 100% sure youll always be on the right side of those in power, youd better buy some #Bitcoin.

Samson Mow, chief strategy officer at Blockstream

 

We need Bitcoin to be legal tender in Mexico.

Indira Kempis, Mexican senator

 

Remember dogecoin was made 8 years ago. as satire. making fun of the idiotic coins. irony. satire. Current meme coins arent even memes. theyre made by people trying to get rich off of other people trying to get rich. to each their own, but it is indeed a different thing.

Billy Markus, co-creator of Dogecoin

 

Institutions running algorithmic trading bots think BTC is a tech stock.

Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant

 

 

Prediction of the Week

 

Ethereum to $10K? Classic bullish reversal pattern hints at potential ETH price rally

Ether, the crypto industrys second-largest asset by market capitalization, mostly traded between $2,750 and $2,350 this past week, according to Cointelegraphs ETH price index.

Although ETHs price action experienced turbulence during the week, a chart pattern from market analyst and Twitter personality Wolf revealed a possible price target above $10,000.

An ETH weekly candle chart from the analyst indicates a possible ascending triangle pattern playing out, which, long story short, could lead to ETH surpassing $10,000 based on how the chart pattern typically plays out. The chart from Wolf points to a target of about $13,250. Weekly chart patterns in general, however, typically take more time to play out than chart patterns crafted on shorter timeframes.

Other thoughts and observations about ETH were also mentioned in Cointelegraphs Wednesday article, including the possibility for a bull trap an upward price fake-out of sorts which would invalidate Wolfs bullish price target.

 

 

FUD of the Week

SafeMoon pump-and-dump lawsuit targets Jake Paul, Soulja Boy and others

A bunch of A-list celebrities and pesky influencers have gotten themselves into hot water over the promotion of an alleged pump-and-dump scheme tied to the BNB Chain-based SafeMoon token.

In a class-action lawsuit, the team behind the token is accused of roping several popular figures to induce people to invest in SafeMoon via misleading information. Some of the more well-known names include musicians such as Nick Carter, Soulja Boy, Lil Yachty and YouTubers Jake Paul and Ben Phillips.

According to court documents, SafeMoon and its subsidiaries mimicked Ponzi schemes by duping investors into purchasing the tokens under the pretext of unrealistic profit potential. Notably, it is also alleged that the projects execs promptly fled the project as SafeMoons price started to tank heavily last year.

 

Seller ‘rugs’ $30M CryptoPunks collection minutes before Sotheby’s auction

The FUD alarm bells went off among fine art collectors this week after 0x650d, the pseudonymous owner of the CryptoPunks NFT Punk It! collection, suddenly withdrew from their Sothebys auction just moments before it was slated to go live.

The collection, which contains 104 CryptoPunks, is estimated to be worth $30 million and was said to be the highest-profile NFT sale of all time. In the aftermath of the canceled auction, the would-be seller appeared to make fun of Sothebys as they discussed their motives in a blaze and sarcastic manner.

For example, 0x650d first posted nvm, decided to hodl on Twitter and followed that up with a meme that bore the caption Taking punks mainstream by rugging Sothebys.

 

Kazakh ministry halts illegal crypto mining operations

Earlier this week, 13 crypto mining operations accounting for a whopping 202 megawatts of power consumption were shut down by the Kazakhstan government.

The Ministry of Energy of the Republic of Kazakhstan announced the shutdown on Monday as part of an ongoing move to regulate the local BTC sector and weed out illicit mining operations.

Bitcoin mining has surged in popularity in the nation since China banned crypto mining last year, with Kazakhstan now accounting for the second-largest percentage of the global hash rate. While the government allows crypto mining, miners are legally required to obtain licenses, pay electricity bills on decent terms, and pay taxes.

 

 

Best Cointelegraph Features

The metaverse will bring a further erosion of privacy

The Metaverse isnt coming, its already here. And thats why we look at its impact on our privacy and how decentralization could help.

Year 1602 revisited: Are DAOs the new corporate paradigm?

The ability to delegate your votes to industry or topic experts will allow owners to exercise a much stronger and clearer voice in the management of these companies.

The crypto oasis: How the UAE became the Middle East’s digital asset champion

The nation has a patchwork of largely crypto-friendly, region-specific rules that can finally get standardized.

 

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