Thursday, September 30, 2021

Value locked in DeFi grows 936% in one year, NFT sector strengthens: DappRadar

The total value locked in DeFi protocols has surged 936% over the past 12 months.

New research by analytics platform DappRadar has revealed the extent to which decentralized finance and nonfungible token (NFT) markets have grown this year.

In its Sept. 30 “Value Flow Report”, crypto analytics platform DappRadar reported that recent trends have seen sizable growth in NFTs and blockchain gaming, but that DeFi is also still generating substantial value.

“Although the value flows to some extent from DeFi to NFTs, it appears that both categories are generating value independently.”

The research delved into Ethereum based DeFi which is still the dominant force in the sector despite the emergence of rival networks such as Binance Smart Chain (BSC), Solana, and Avalanche. Value has continued to flow in with wrapped Ethereum up 400% since July 2020 and stablecoins Tether and Dai increasing by 1,300% and 500% over the same period respectively.

DappRadar currently reports a total value locked of $114.8 billion which is an increase of 936% since the same time last year. The report added that the industry’s TVL grew 75% between July 23 and September 5, reaching a peak of $195 billion across all chains.

DappRadar did suggest that using TVL was not a good way to measure the movement of value.

“Whilst TVL is one of the most important metrics to assess the current state of Decentralized Finance, it is not a metric to understand value flow movement. The TVL is completely dependent on the underlying asset, thus, providing a false optic from the value perspective.”

At the time of compiling the research, 68% of all of the collateral locked in DeFi was based on Ethereum. BSC is the second-largest blockchain in terms of TVL with $17.8 billion currently locked, or 15.5% of the total. The PancakeSwap DEX dominates DeFi on BSC with $8.7 billion in TVL. The third-largest chain in terms of DeFi collateral on DappRadar is Polygon with $2.7 billion locked — however the report did not include data for Solana which has $9.5 billion locked according to alternative analytics website DeFiLlama.

The report noted that NFTs saw record volumes in August with a total of $5.2 billion worth traded. Ethereum is also the dominant network in the NFT scene with 90% of all the volume on its blockchain.

Related: OpenSea trading volume explodes 76,240% YTD amid NFT boom

NFT marketplace OpenSea is the market leader and 99.7% of its trades happen on Ethereum despite the platform offering USDC, DAI, and Polygon (MATIC) options for sellers. The report concluded that NFT growth has been organic and has not leached a lot of liquidity from DeFi protocols.

“All in all, it appears that the value in DeFi is growing constantly, whilst NFTs were able to generate a major value flow in August.”

As reported by Cointelegraph, crypto investors are moving more of their assets into DeFi protocols as China continues to crackdown on the industry regulatory fears grow in the U.S.



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Billion dollar Bitcoin mining industry resumes in Iran after three month ban

The extreme heat of the summer has subsided, so crypto mining has been given the green light as it can no longer be blamed for stressing the electricity grid.

The Iranian government will allow licensed cryptocurrency miners to resume operations today following a three-month ban imposed by former President Hassan Rouhani on May 26th, 2021.

The initial ban was put into effect due to concerns over the stability of the country’s unreliable power grid.

The middle eastern country experienced widespread power outages in the summer, which former President Rouhani attributed to extreme heat. On some days, the heat topped 120 degrees Fahrenheit, or nearly 49 degrees Celsius.

In light of the power outages and a water shortage, Rouhani decided to ban crypto mining during the heat to ensure citizens could keep their air conditioners running — although doubts have been expressed in some quarters about how much power crypto mining actually uses in the country. With the heat dying down and Ebrahim Raisi taking office as president on August 3rd, 2021, the crypto mining ban has been lifted.

An estimated 4.5% to 7% of the world’s cryptocurrency mining is done in Iran. It may come as little surprise that Iran boasts some of the cheapest electricity prices in the world thanks to abundant fossil fuel resources such as natural gas.

There are some reports that suggests the country looks favorably on Bitcoin mining as a way to evade sanctions from the United States. Iran currently suffers from a near-complete embargo by the USA, negatively affecting the nation’s economy. At current estimated levels of mining in Iran, revenues are estimated by Elliptic via Reuters to be around $1 billion.

Despite the ban, underground mining reportedly continued and on Wednesday news broke that Ali Sahraee, the director of Teheran’s Stock Exchange (TSE), had resigned after the state-run media reported that cryptocurrency mining was taking place at the exchange during the ban.

TSE leadership first denied the existence of the mining operation, but later executive deputy director Beheshti-Sarsht admitted that the TSE should be held accountable for the operation.



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Senator Bragg tells NFT Fest new Australian crypto legislation likely in 2022

Talking about a digital asset plan being cooked up by a Senate inquiry, Senator Andrew Bragg said, “We will want the major parties, including my party, to adopt these policies as part of their election manifestos.”

Liberal Senator Andrew Bragg has told a local industry event that Australia’s digital asset plan to create cryptocurrency-related legislation is “coming” soon and could be enacted in 2022.

He also backed plans to run the sector on renewable energy as part of the government's yet-to- be-established goal of achieving ‘net zero’ carbon emissions.

Speaking at the virtual NFT Fest event supported by Blockchain Australia on Sept. 30, Bragg stated that the select Senate committee investigating the topic will publish its report by the end of October, which will include regulatory recommendations that can be legislated over the next 12 months.

“The review is due to conclude in about three weeks from now and the promise that I made you, I will keep. We will give you a plan, and that plan will be designed to put Australia at the front end of the digital asset society and the world,” he said.

The crypto-friendly Senator hosted the Senate inquiry into “Australia as a Technology and Financial Centre,” in 2021, but emphasized yesterday that it is now time to put solid frameworks in place as opposed to prolonging the process with further reviews.

While there is still a lot of work to do, Bragg hopes the plan will be adopted no matter which political party is elected in the next federal election due 2022:

“I think that you deserve more than just a series of recommendations for new inquiries, task forces and further review. So we will be making some hard recommendations. [...] We will want the major parties, including my party, to adopt these policies as part of their election manifestos.”

While Bragg didn’t outline the specifics, he stated that the plan will include recommendations for a “robust policy framework” focused on three objectives: consumer protection, investor promotion and market competition.

“Now, for those of you that say we don't want to have regulation. I would remind you that your industry reps and the vast bulk of the industry is asking for some regulation, so there will be some regulation,” he said.

The Senator also stated that he is “very conscious” about not wanting to stifle innovation in crypto via regulation that suits the “incumbent vested interests” who want to see the sector “destroyed by a regulation that was designed for a whole different purpose.”

Related: 17% of Australians now own crypto, totaling $8B between them: Survey

Speaking on environmental concerns over crypto’s energy consumption — as well as the government’s ambitions to transition to a “net-zero economy” — Bragg stated that he wants to see the crypto sector operate using solely renewable energy:

“I’ll just put the simple fact that we are trying to get to net zero. We want to get there as soon as we can. I personally think it's highly, and strongly in our economic interests to transition to a net-zero economy. And in the area of digital assets using a lot of electricity, we want that to happen on a renewable basis.”

“So I think it's a unique opportunity for the industry to pull this, pull those two things together,” he added.



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South Korean crypto tax delay thwarted

The crypto tax will begin for South Koreans in 2022 but some industry observers say there is no cause for concern.

Lawmakers in South Korea settled a long political battle on Sept. 30th and headed off moves by the ruling party to delay the implementation of the controversial crypto tax legislation. 

In a meeting on the 26th but only reported yesterday, Finance Minister Hong Nam-ki and key Democratic lawmakers from the National Assembly, South Korea’s legislature, are said to have come to a final agreement that the crypto tax will be carried out as planned

The Korean crypto tax will tax crypto profits in a similar way to traditional stocks. It will levy a 20% tax on income generated by crypto transactions in excess of 2.5 million Korean won, or about $2,100.

The majority Democratic party in the National Assembly was attempting to pass an amendment to the tax bill which would have postponed the tax until 2023. Democratic lawmaker Kim Byung-ook proposed in open session on September 15th that the capital gains tax on cryptocurrency should be rolled out alongside a similar tax on stocks in 2023, rather than 2022.

While the majority ruling party should theoretically have had the numbers to pass the amendment they faced stiff opposition from Finance Minister Hong, who wields significant power and has served in many high-ranking positions in the country, including as Prime Minister.

Minister Hong has repeatedly stated throughout 2021 that the tax would come into effect as originally planned, going as far as to say that the crypto tax was inevitable for 2022.

At least twice since May, Minister Hong has repeated his firm stance against the ruling Democratic party that the crypto tax would come into effect without delay.

While a victory for Hong, some crypto industry insiders are concerned the new tax will see trading volumes and overall interest in the industry decline.

But Jun Hyuk Ahn, a Korean crypto market analyst, feels that there is no reason to worry about a decline in interest. He told Cointelegraph:

“I don’t believe taxation will cause deterrence on the crypto market in Korea. We’ve seen what happened in the States, and it won’t be much different here.”

The new legislation comes on top of new regulations regarding cyber security that saw the recent market exit of many Korean exchanges. Just 29 crypto exchanges met the September 24th deadline to come into compliance.

Of those 29, only four have obtained real-name bank account partnerships with domestic banks which grants them the legal right to continue offering KRW trading pairs. Those four are Upbit, Bithumb, Coinone and Korbit. The remaining 25 exchanges have Internet Security Management System (ISMS) certification and will offer crypto-to-crypto trading pairs.

Related: Bybit crypto exchange suspends services in South Korea

From today, Upbit will require any user trading in excess of 1 million KRW ($842) to undergo KYC, with all users trading any amount also required to do so by October 8th. The new KYC process is meant to bring exchanges in line with anti-money laundering procedures.

Korean exchanges, such as Upbit, previously used the real-name bank account and their Kakaotalk messaging app as de facto KYC mechanisms. Bithumb, Coinone, and Korbit are expected to follow Upbit in requiring further KYC from its users.



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Societe Generale proposes historic $20M DAI loan in exchange for bond tokens

The digital assets division of the international bank wants to provide home loan-backed security tokens as collateral for the loan.

One of France’s leading banks has turned to decentralized finance pioneer MakerDAO to propose the submission of bond tokens as collateral for a loan of the DAI stablecoin.

The historic proposal called “Security Tokens Refinancing” was submitted to Maker’s governance forums by the international bank on Oct. 1. It would be the first major collaboration between a traditional bank and a DeFi protocol and could open the door for closer integration between the two sectors.

Societe Generale (SG) labeled it as the “first experiment at the crossroads between regulated and open source initiatives.”

The bank has proposed that it provides “OFH” security tokens (obligations de financement de l’habitat) which are characterized as covered bonds under French law, and backed by home loans.

These would be used to collateralize a $20 million loan in Maker’s DAI stablecoin which would be mediated by a number of legal entities and mature in six to nine months.

The Ethereum-based security tokens were issued in May 2020 with a nominal amount of 40 million Euro ($46.3M) and a fixed rate of 0%. They mature in May 2025 and have the top credit rating of AAA by rating agencies Moody’s and Fitch.

MakerDAO founder Rune Christensen said he had “no clue” about this proposal, adding that “this is one of multiple recent examples in Maker Governance of how the post-foundation model of organization is proving to be more scalable.”

Industry observer “DCInvestor” commented on the potential impact of deals such as this on Ethereum and its position as a global settlement layer:

“Societe Generale with their attempt to get their on-chain assets usable in Maker and you're wondering if Ethereum will become a global settlement layer it's happening, now.”

SG stated that the loan would be a “pilot use case,” with the goal of helping to “shape and promote an experiment under the French legal framework,” and “enhance a profitable service and foster liquidity for digital bonds.”

SG Forge, a regulated subsidiary of the bank that deals with crypto assets, is managing the proposal which is based on the open-source framework CAST (Compliant Architecture for Security Tokens).

The legal framework for the deal is complex as it needs to integrate an institutional financial organization with a decentralized governance-based network. A flowchart provided by the bank details six separate entities involved in the process. These include the registrar Societe Generale Forge, the bank itself SG, MakerDAO, a legal representative for the DeFi protocol, security agent DIIS Group, and a third-party exchange agent.

Source: forum.makerdao.com

Related: Senator Warren’s office confuses MakerDAO for failed 2016 project The DAO

Pseudonymous MakerDAO community member ‘PaperImperium’ commented on the proposal in the forum:

“Maker and SocGen-Forge are standing at the precipice of financial history. What a time to be alive.”

The proposal is currently being discussed and will move to a formal governance vote in the weeks to come.

It is not the first time Societe Generale has dabbled with Ethereum-based security tokens. In April 2019, the bank’s SG Forge unit issued a 100 million Euro bond as an OFH security token on Ethereum.



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DOGE co-founder sets sights on Ethereum bridge and NFTs for mass adoption

Billy Markus has talked up a proposed Dogecoin-to-Ethereum bridge so that DOGE can be used on top NFT marketplaces such as OpenSea.

Dogecoin (DOGE) co-founder Billy Markus has set his sights on nonfungible tokens (NFTs) and an Ethereum-to-Dogecoin bridge to help bring about for mass adoption of the meme coin.

In a Sept. 30 tweet, Markus emphasized the importance of completing the Ethereum-Dogecoin bridge so that the asset could be integrated with top Ethereum-based NFT platforms such as OpenSea, enabling non fungible purchases with DOGE.

Markus said that there is “high demand” to purchase NFTs within the crypto community and that enabling NFT purchases with DOGE “greatly increases its utility.”

The in development DOGE-ETH bridge would enable users to send DOGE from the Dogecoin blockchain to the Ethereum blockchain, and transact with the asset in sectors such as decentralized finance (DeFi) and NFTs via ERC-20 DOGE token contracts.

The bridge would provide extra utility for DOGE, as it could provide a fun alternative to Ether which dominates NFT payments, while also ramping up transaction levels and usage via circulation in various DeFi protocols on Ethereum.

In an interview with podcaster Lex Fridman on June 4, Ethereum co-founder and DOGE investor Vitalik Buterin also emphasized the bullish potential that an Ethereum-bridge could have for DOGE, noting that:

"If DOGE wants to somehow bridge to Ethereum, and then people can trade DOGE thousands of times a second inside a loop ring, then that would be amazing."

In Markus’s Twitter thread, he was asked if the bridge is in the works, and responded that “people are working on the DOGE-ETH bridge, yes,” without naming names.

Organizations such as DogeLabs — a collaboration of developers focused on the Dogecoin chain — announced on June 18 that it was exploring the idea of building a Doge-ETH bridge that would enable hodlers to use the asset in Ethereum-based DeFi staking.

DogeLabs also stated that it was looking to the development of a DOGE burn wallet where developers can build “applications that send a small portion of Doge to a public burn wallet to assist in building a deflationary mode around DOGE inflationary growth.”

Markus stepped away from working on Dogecoin in 2015 — selling his stash for the equivalent of a used Honda Civic — however the co-founder is a member of the advisory board of the Dogecoin foundation that was re-established in August. Buterin is also a member of the advisory board.

Related: Crypto is impossible to destroy, says Tesla CEO Elon Musk

The non-profit foundation supports and advocates for the development of Dogecoin, while also protecting its trademark from the likes of copycats such as Dogecoin 2.0.

Cointelegraph reported on Sept. 2 that the Dogecoin Foundation demanded the "Dogecoin 2.0" project change its name and had hired brand protection lawyers to contact the knockoff’s developers in a bid to “protect the Dogecoin community from being misled and to protect the Dogecoin name from possible misuse.”



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Shanghai Man: Looking deeper into China’s biggest ban yet

This weekly roundup of news from Mainland China, Taiwan, and Hong Kong attempts to curate the industrys most important news, including influential projects, changes in the regulatory landscape, and enterprise blockchain integrations.

Well, it finally happened. The regulation-driven crypto-apocalypse in China. They started by clamping down on miners earlier this summer before finally tightening the screws on exchanges. This week, the final nail in the coffin came with even more rules from the PBoC that resulted in many platforms announcing they could no longer accept Chinese users.

Banned yet again

The new rules handed down by the Peoples Bank of China made things incredibly clear for businesses from a legal standpoint. One of the main points was that cryptocurrency-related business activities are illegal, a ruling that cast doubt over the long list of projects, exchanges, and financial service providers in the country.

Many projects responded instantly by eliminating WeChat communities and even internal messaging groups on domestic networks, preferring to operate through VPNs and more privacy-focused chat apps. Leading exchange Huobi, which sits third on the global leaderboard for volume, announced they would be permanently closing down Chinese user accounts at the end of the year.

 

 

Huobi outlines plan for Chinese investors after halting crypto trading
Chinese users on Huobi must make a decision before accounts close on December 31.

 

If true, this would be a massive blow to the exchange that has long-serviced the Chinese community with a high standard of service that includes deep liquidity, a wide range of assets, and few security blemishes to speak of. Experienced Chinese investors might still be skeptical that Huobi would make such a drastic change, as announcements and policies can change very quickly in the Chinese world of crackdowns and political posturing.

Trouble for overseas players

Perhaps the most alarming point of the PBoC announcement was that overseas cryptocurrency exchanges providing services to Chinese residents are also deemed to be illegal financial activities. Additionally, it stated that there are legal risks to participating in cryptocurrency investment transactions. This sparked some fear among employees of crypto companies who suddenly worried they might be the next target of crackdowns by law enforcement.

Binance was quick to point out that the domain Binance.com has been blocked in China since 2017, excluding it from the regulatory discussion. It also announced it would no longer accept new registrations from Chinese users, but said nothing about existing accounts. BitMart, another exchange with ties to China, also announced that on November 30, it would be closing accounts from users in the Chinese mainland. Biki, an even smaller exchange, announced it would be winding up exchange operations altogether.

 

 

 

For smaller exchanges, the risks of operating are quite high, especially as many have diversified business models that include investment, mining, or other financial services. Smaller CeFi exchanges in this space may also be feeling increasingly crowded out by the rapid growth of top CeFi platforms, as well as the widespread adoption of decentralized exchanges. Closing doors on the exchanges may not mean exiting the industry altogether, but simply abandoning a high-risk and underperforming business line.

So what is left for Chinese traders?

Individual users are still in a gray area as the announcement didnt strictly say that the possession of cryptocurrencies was illegal. This seems unlikely as the general trend is to try to protect the citizens by targeting the businesses, a move weve seen in a number of different industry verticals this year, including education and entertainment.

Another area that isnt clear is Chinese users who live abroad. In addition to the large population of overseas Chinese citizens, many are still able to fake their location using VPNs. Assuming that these users are still able to get past IP bans, it could leave a possible route for more technically savvy holders to continue trading on CeFi platforms.

Exchanges without any operations in China might see this as an opportunity, as regulators would have very little recourse against them. At this stage, it seems like China’s regulators might be successful in discouraging much of the smaller retail cryptocurrency activity. However, the large players are already overseas or finding ways to get around these new barriers. If they’ve been in the space awhile, they are more than familiar with the ebbs and flows of regulations.

No answer for decentralization

The biggest benefactor in the short term may be DeFi protocols. The one-two punch of China cracking down and liquidity rewards on DYDX caused a massive spike in adoption for the StarkWare-based derivatives platform. According to data on Similarweb, China was the top region to access the site, with over 10% of the market share. Users with VPNs from China likely accounted for even more. It’s still not clear if this will be a long-term solution, or if the massive increase is more speculative in search of earning the DYDX token as a reward.

 

China and Hong Kong lead the way for DYDX website visitors. Source: Similarweb

Toeing the party line

Seeing an opportunity to display their best behavior, eCommerce platform Alibaba announced the platform could no longer be used for the sale of cryptocurrency mining machines. This stance is not surprising, considering the scrutiny the company is already under by financial regulators. The organization is being restructured after their p2p lending models sparked a high-profile row between founder Jack Ma and financial oversight bodies.



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DeFi and DEX volumes soar amid China's crypto ban and ongoing US regulation

Data shows that crypto holders are increasingly shifting to DeFi protocols and DEXs as China continues its cryptocurrency crackdown and fears of heavy-handed regulation scare US-based traders.

Last week China’s heavy-handed crackdown on crypto trading crypto briefly sent shockwaves across the market as Bitcoin and altcoin prices saw a sharp drop following the announcement, but as is the case with all things crypto-related, the market bounced back as resilient traders found other ways to participate in the market. 

Part of China's goal in limiting citizens ability to trade cryptocurrency seems focused on discouraging the use of cryptocurrencies and the growing decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem but these maneuvers appear to be having the opposite effect as the token price and protocol activity for projects like Uniswap (UNI) and dYdX have seen an uptick since the crackdown began.

According to data from Chainalysis, there has been a significant amount of regional Bitcoin (BTC) flows happening within eastern Asia, as highlighted by the tall orange bar in the graph below. This suggests that crypto holders in the region have been shifting around their holdings in response to the regulatory crackdown.

Regional BTC flows. Source: Chainalysis

As stated by Chainalysis, “assets typically flow within a region, likely due to preferences for local exchanges, but flows between regions often occur as a result of regulatory concerns, geopolitical changes, or significant market price variations.”

The lack of flows out of Eastern Asia combined with crypto exchanges like Huobi and Binance suspending services for Chinese residents suggests that funds are being kept within the region, but not on centralized exchanges.

Related: Derivatives DEX dYdX beats out Coinbase’s spot markets by volume amid China FUD

Gains in the DeFi Ecosystem

At the same time that this increased movement within the Eastern Asian region was occurring, activity on decentralized exchanges like Uniswap and the decentralized derivatives exchange dYdX has been on the rise as traders in China seek out a safe haven for their crypto activities.

Uniswap trading volume vs. total revenue. Source: Token Terminal

DydX is a particularly helpful data point as it is now the most widely used decentralized derivatives exchange and has seen a spike in demand after regulators from around the world dropped the hammer on centralized exchanges with loose KYC policies that offer derivative services.

According to data from Token Terminal, dYdX is in the top-5 ranking for numerous categories over the past week, including the increase in token price, total protocol revenue, fees paid, the price to sales ratio and the price to earnings ratio. The exchange also rose to the top 6 in terms of increases in total value locked (TVL).

Total revenue vs. total value locked on dYdX. Source: Token Terminal

A closer look at the available data also shows that layer-two protocols and layer-one Ethereum (ETH) competitors have also seen some of the biggest gains over the past week, led by Avalanche-based protocols like Trader Joe and Pangolin, as well as the Fantom network.

Above all else, what the recent data shows is that the decentralized finance ecosystem is performing as it was originally intended to by providing an uncensorable way for crypto holders to transact outside of the control and purview of governments and financial regulators.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.



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Bears intend to pin Bitcoin price below $43K until Friday's $700M expiry passes

$700 million in BTC options expire on Friday, and derivatives data signals that bears are positioned to profit from a sub-$45,000 Bitcoin price.

Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading in a descending pattern since the strong $53,000 rejection that occurred on Sept. 7, and the $3.4 billion futures contracts liquidation along with China's ban on crypto trading appear to have severely impacted traders' morale. 

Adding to the negative sentiment, major crypto exchanges like Binance and Huobi halted some services in mainland China, and some of the largest Ethereum mining pools, like Sparkpool and BeePool were forced to shut down completely.

Bitcoin price in USD at Coinbase. Source: TradingView

Based on the above chart, it is possible to understand why buyers placed 80% of their bets at $44,000 or higher. However, the past two weeks definitively caused those call (buy) options to lose value quickly.

On Sept. 25, the People's Bank of China (PBoC) posted a nationwide ban on crypto and barred companies from providing financial transactions and services to market participants. The news triggered an 8% dip in Bitcoin's price along with a broader pullback on altcoins.

The bearish sentiment was confirmed after Tesla CEO Elon Musk expressed his support for cryptocurrency at the Code Conference in California.

Musk said:

"It is not possible to, I think, destroy crypto, but it is possible for governments to slow down its advancement."

Had we been in a neutral-to-bullish market, those remarks would likely have reversed the negative trend. For example, on July 21, Elon Musk said that Bitcoin had already hit his benchmark on renewable energy. As a result, Bitcoin price, which had previously dropped 12% in ten days, reverted the move and hiked 35% over the next ten days.

The Oct. 1 expiry will be a strength test for bulls because any price below $42,000 means a bloodbath with absolute dominance of put (sell) options.

Bitcoin options aggregate open interest for Oct. 1. Source: Bybt.com

Initially, the $285 million neutral-to-bullish instruments dominated the weekly expiry by 21% compared to the $320 million puts (sell) options.

However, the 1.21 call-to-put ratio is deceiving because the excessive optimism seen from bulls could wipe out most of their bets if Bitcoin price remains below $43,000 at 8:00 am UTC on Friday.

After all, what good is a right to acquire Bitcoin at $50,000 if it's trading below that price?

Bears were also caught by surprise

Sixty-six percent of the put options, where the buyer holds a right to sell Bitcoin at a pre-established price, has been placed at $42,000 or lower. These neutral-to-bearish instruments will become worthless if Bitcoin trades above that price on Friday morning.

Below are the four most likely scenarios that consider the current price levels. The imbalance favoring either side represents the potential profit from the expiry.

The data shows how many contracts will be available on Friday, depending on the expiry price.

  • Between $40,000 and $41,000: 110 calls vs. 4,470 puts. The net result is $175 million favoring the protective put (bear) instruments.
  • Between $41,000 and $43,000: 640 calls vs. 4,000 puts. The net result continues to favor bears by $140 million.
  • Between $43,000 and $45,000: 1,780 calls vs. 2,070 puts. The net result is balanced between bears and bulls.
  • Above $45,000: 2,530 calls vs. 1,090 puts. The net result shifts in favor of bulls by $65 million.

This crude estimate considers call (buy) options used in bullish strategies and put (sell) options exclusively in neutral-to-bearish trades. Unfortunately, real life is not that simple because it's possible that more complex investment strategies are being deployed.

For example, a trader could have sold a put option, effectively gaining a positive exposure to Bitcoin above a specific price. Consequently, there's no easy way to estimate this effect, so the simple analysis above is a good guess.

As things currently stand, bears have absolute control of the Oct. 1 expiry and they have a few good reasons to keep pressuring the price below $43,000.

Unless some unexpected buying pressure comes out over the next 12 hours, the amount of capital required for bulls to force the market above the $45,000 threshold seems immense and unjustified.

On the other hand, bears need a 5% negative price swing that takes BTC below $41,000 to increase their lead by $35 million. So this move also shows little return for the amount of effort required.

The bull's only hope resides in some surprise positive newsflow for Bitcoin price ahead of Oct. 1 at 8:00 am UTC. If any sensible action is bound to occur, it will likely take place during the weekend, when there's less active flow.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph. Every investment and trading move involves risk. You should conduct your own research when making a decision.



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Fed’s Powell has no intent to ban Bitcoin or crypto

Powell testified before the House Financial Services Committee on Thursday on matters related to the economy and the Covid-19 pandemic.

Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell believes the federal government needs to regulate the cryptocurrency market, but that a blanket ban on Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets is not in the cards.

Speaking in response to a question from Republican Representative Ted Budd of North Carolina, Powell clarified that a China-style ban on digital assets was not something he’s considering. Rep. Budd’s question came in response to Powell raising doubts about the regulatory status of stablecoins and the central bank’s ongoing deliberations around a so-called “digital dollar.” (In Powell’s view, a central bank digital currency, or CBDC, could perform many of the functions of stablecoins and cryptocurrencies but without the regulatory risk.)

“Stablecoins are like money market funds [and] like bank deposits but they’re, to some extent, outside the regulatory perimeter and it’s appropriate they be regulated,” he said. “Same activity, same regulation.”

Related: Countries representing over 90% of global GDP are exploring CBDCs

A central bank digital currency has been on the Fed’s radar for some time, but policymakers remain undecided on whether to pursue the project. In the meantime, the central bank has commissioned several research reports on the advantages and potential roadblocks of issuing a CBDC.

Powell oversees the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee, which is responsible for setting United States monetary policy. Earlier this month, the Committee decided to leave its existing stimulus programs intact but said that the pandemic-induced bond purchase program could be winding down soon. The warning appears to have put some downward pressure on risk assets, which includes stocks and cryptocurrencies.



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The infrastructure bill is hanging in the balance. What would its enactment mean for crypto?

Hinging on Democrats' ability to resolve intraparty disagreements, the controversial legislation could have tangible consequences for digital finance in the U.S. and beyond — if passed by the House today.

Later today, the United States House of Representatives is expected to vote on the bipartisan Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021, a bill authorizing sweeping investments in domains such as passenger rail, bridge repair, clean water and wastewater facilities, clean energy transmission, and universal access to high-speed internet. In addition to that, tucked into the massive bill are several provisions that would directly affect millions of crypto users if enacted, particularly the expanded tax reporting requirements for entities handling cryptocurrency transactions.

Neither the bill becoming law nor even a House vote on it on Sept. 30 are warranted, however. The legislation is s working through Congress alongside the budget resolution bill, with several factions within the Democratic party – which controls the majority of seats in the chamber but needs a clean party-line for the initiative – conditioning their support of the infrastructure bill on certain social policy-related provisions being included in the budget reconciliation.

As the political maneuvering approaches the boiling point, here is what legal experts and cryptocurrency industry players think of the bill that can become law within the next few hours.

The spirit of the law

At this point, whether the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 in its current shape will become law is anyone’s guess. Regardless of that, the way cryptocurrency-related provisions have made their way into an omnibus bill like this one could hint at how Congress might go about legislating on key policies that affect the crypto space going forward.

On point of contention is that provisions affecting cryptocurrency users and businesses were appended to the bill without due consideration of what the industry thinks on the matter.

Ben Weiss, CEO of crypto ATM provider CoinFlip, noted to Cointelegraph:

Representatives from the industry did not have the opportunity to weigh in on or discuss the policy changes, which will cause a major disruption to the cryptocurrency ecosystem. We believe there should be more dialogue between Congress and members of this rapidly growing industry to lead to a better and clearer policy that will benefit everyone.

At the same time, Jahon Jamali, co-founder of crypto investment firm Sarson Funds, does not believe that the passage of the bill would adversely affect the digital asset space in the long run, because the pace of the industry far exceeds the government’s capability to catch up with it. Jamali added:

I am sure that the enormity of the size of the bill and dollar amount the government is looking to spend will have implications on finance as a whole and will most likely drive more innovation in the fintech industry to lay the foundation for a blockchain-based system.

Brock Pierce, chairman of the Bitcoin Foundation, expects that the market would “respond over time by adjusting the reality of more regulation.” Pierce expects that cryptocurrency firms and entrepreneurs will work with regulators towards more sensible regulation as the industry’s political influence strengthens.

Indeed, the requirements laid out in the bill will not take effect until after 2023 – a very long time by the standards of the crypto universe.

Shaun Hunley, tax consultant at software firm Thomson Reuters Tax and Accounting, believes that even if the bill doesn’t pass today, some form of legislation requiring crypto information reporting will be enacted “because of the government’s interest in fighting tax evasion.”

Many of these actors do not interact with the parties transacting on the blockchain and thus might not have access to their personal data, which would render compliance impossible.

Who are the brokers?

The major concern of the crypto community regarding the proposed legislation is the section of the Tax code that broadens the definition of cryptocurrency “broker” – invoking corresponding reporting requirements – beyond cryptocurrency exchange platforms to include entities such as software developers, stakers, node validators, and miners.

Many of these actors do not interact with the parties transacting on the blockchain and thus might not have access to their personal data, which would render compliance impossible.

Stan Sater, a corporate & technology attorney at law firm Founders Legal, believes that the confusing expansion of the key definition is a result of the legislators’ lack of understanding of how to deal with crypto reporting. Sater commented to Cointelgraph:

Typically, rather than relying on self-reporting, the government deputizes intermediaries to collect the information they need for taxes. In financial markets, those intermediaries are brokers. So you need to expand the definition of “broker”, but how do you do that for digital assets and capture everyone involved in the industry? The government really doesn’t know how to address this but they have a problem so they proposed an incredibly broad definition of “broker” that captures nearly everyone involved in the digital finance industry including individuals.

In Sater’s opinion, the proposed requirements are “incredibly vague” and they could lead to “forced surveillance on everyone.”

However, even if the bill is passed in its current form, the draft language would not automatically become law, said Olya Veramchuk, director of tax solutions at blockchain data and software firm Lukka. Veramchuk said:

The Treasury would have to issue proposed regulations and seek input on the matters from the public. That would be the time for the industry participants to add their fingerprints to the regulatory landscape and educate the regulators on the intricacies of the digital asset space, which would hopefully result in a workable and more feasible tax law.

More surveillance and reporting

Another part of the proposed legislation that got some in the crypto circles riled up is the Tax code section 6050I that, according to crypto advocacy group Proof of Stake Alliance could make “receiving digital assets a felony if not reported correctly.” The provision applies to any person who receives over $10,000 and requires them to report the sender’s personal information to the government.

Hunley of Thomson Reuters Tax and Accounting believes that, while the requirement is not new per se, it could dampen some businesses’ appetite for accepting crypto. Hunley commented:

Amended 6050I would just treat digital assets as cash for currency transaction reporting purposes. Only serious investors would use crypto to engage in transactions over $10,000, and those are the types of transactions the IRS wants to know about. However, I believe this new requirement would possibly deter businesses from accepting crypto as a form of payment.

Lukka’s Veramchuk, too, pointed out that the rules articulated in section 6050I are not new, and therefore it is “unreasonable to view them as imposing undue surveillance on those engaging in digital asset transactions.” The caveat, she added, is that these rules should only be applied in a fashion that is practical, sensible and attainable in the decentralized digital asset ecosystem.

Hunley concluded that the bill “could potentially be confusing for taxpayers.” He added:

The government would essentially treat crypto as property for one purpose (reporting taxable income), cash for another purpose (the Section 6050I reporting rules), and securities for yet another purpose (the broker reporting rules).

A good tax policy, in his opinion, is for crypto to be treated as one thing for all purposes.

As of 2 PM Eastern on Sept. 30, it is still unclear whether the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act of 2021 will be brought to the floor today.



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TikTok embraces NFTs with creator-led collection

The NFT launch features prominent TikTokers including Lil Nas X, Bella Poarch, Curtis Roach, Brittany Broski and others.

Social media platform TikTok has announced its first foray into the nonfungible token, or NFT, market with a new collection inspired by its leading trend-setters.

On Thursday, the company announced TikTok Top Moments, a new program that allows content creators to be recognized and rewarded for their content. The NFT drops will be launched on Ethereum and powered by Immutable X, a new scaling solution for layer-two NFT protocol Immutable.

TikTok Top Moments is said to feature a selection of six TokTok videos from the network’s most influential creators. Each one is intended to celebrate the impact of these creators in making TikTok one of the largest social networks in the world.

The company said that proceeds from the sales will go directly to the content creators and NFT artists.

Related: Immutable raises $60M for its carbon-conscious NFT platform

TikTok appears to be slowly pivoting towards blockchain technology as part of its overall business strategy. As Cointelegraph recently reported, the company has partnered with blockchain streaming platform Audius around a new feature called TikTok Sounds. The integration allows Audius users to export songs created on the protocol to TikTok.

TikTok has roughly 1 billion users, with its United States audience relying on the app to discover new artists and songs. Since launching its mainnet services in October 2020, Audius’ user base has grown to 5 million.

NFTs have emerged as a major driver of blockchain adoption, with businesses and individuals keen to embrace digital collectibles. August was the busiest month on record for the nascent industry, with total NFT sales hitting $4 billion.



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XDEFI CEO wants to disrupt MetaMask’s domination of browser wallets

Emile Dubié, CEO of XDEFI, is building a new browser wallet with Web 3 capabilities. XDEFI currently has nine blockchain integrations.

Due to the enormous growth of DeFi and a lack of direct competitors, Ethereum wallet and browser extension MetaMask recently surpassed 10 million active users, a major milestone for the ConsenSys-led protocol. Now, a new browser wallet is looking to provide an alternative to MetaMask by doing something that most developers are shying away from — creating a web-based experience as opposed to a mobile client. 

Emile Dubié, the CEO of XDEFI Wallet, explained to Cointelegraph why MetaMask’s growth has previously gone unperturbed by competitors:

“I think developers decided to get on mobile being the next client for blockchain users while the reality is that most of the volume in DeFi is still going via web client. Why? Because you have more real estate from a UI point of view and browser wallets give much more flexibility to users.”

This flexibility, Dubié said, eliminates the need for native integrations with specific protocols within the mobile wallet, making any decentralized application accessible with an extension.

So, whereas most developers are placing the future of DeFi growth in the mobile experience, Dubié said web-based extensions currently offer more usability.

XDEFI Wallet, which operates a browser wallet that seeks to integrate with Web 3 technologies, recently concluded a $6 million funding round backed by some of the biggest venture funds in crypto. The investment round was led by Mechanism Capital, with participation from DeFiance Capital, Alameda Research, Sino Global Capital, Animoca Brands, Morningstar Ventures and CoinGecko.

Dubié explained to Cointelegraph how XDEFI plans to fully utilize the Web 3 experience:

“If you want to unleash the full potential of web 3 you need to have a wallet that allows [you] to interact with web applications built on different blockchains. No need to switch from a wallet to another, no need to deal with several seed phrases — just use the same vehicle to access different destinations.”

Related: OP Crypto Capital founder cites gaming, Web 3 as drivers of crypto economy

XDEFI currently integrates with nine blockchains: Ethereum, Polygon, Terra, THORChain, Bitcoin, Binance chain, Binance Smart Chain, Bitcoin Cash and Litecoin. Support for Arbitrum, Solana and Avalanche are coming next, the CEO said.



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Rari, Telos and Polymath rally as Bitcoin price hits $44K

RGT, POLY and TLOS secure double-digit gains as investor sentiment rises after the Fed says it will not ban cryptocurrencies and Bitcoin briefly reclaims $44,000.

Crypto traders breathed a sigh of relief on Sept. 30 after media headlines reflected positive news regarding adoption and future regulation in the crypto sector. Early in the day, Visa announced that it has developed a layer-2-based blockchain interoperability hub that will support cryptocurrency payments and Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell stated that the regulator has no intention to ban cryptocurrencies.

The rise in sentiment coincided with a positive day for the price action in Bitcoin, which is up 5.74% and trading near $44,000 at the time of writing. 

Top 7 coins with the highest 24-hour price change. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that the biggest gainers over the past 24-hours were Rari Governance Token (RGT), Polymath (POLY) and Telos (TLOS).

Rari Capital TVL surpasses $500 million

The Rari Governance Token is the native token of Rari Capital that allows users to direct the future of the project's DeFi protocol.

According to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro, market conditions for RGT have been favorable for some time.

The VORTECS™ Score, exclusive to Cointelegraph, is an algorithmic comparison of historical and current market conditions derived from a combination of data points including market sentiment, trading volume, recent price movements and Twitter activity.

VORTECS™ Score (green) vs. RGT price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

As shown in the chart above, the VORTECS™ Score for RGT first climbed into the green zone on Sept. 25 and eventually reached a high of 82 on Sept. 28, around 33 hours before its price began to increase by 29% over the next day.

The boost in the price of RGT comes as the community celebrates the Rari Capital protocol surpassing $500 million in total value locked as it strives to now break above the $1 billion mark.

Telos pops as holders expect airdrops

Telos is a blockchain network based on the EOSIO network that focuses on enabling the creation of smart contracts for nonfungible tokens (NFT), DeFi, gaming and social media.

According to data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro, market conditions for TLOS have been favorable for some time.

VORTECS™ Score (green) vs. TLOS price. Source: Cointelegraph Markets Pro

As shown in the chart above, the VORTECS™ Score for TLOS has been elevated in the green zone for the majority of the past week and reached a high of 73 on Sept. 28, around the same time as the price began to increase by 42% over the next two days.

The surge in price for TLOS comes as the community has been active and excited about an ongoing airdrop for the Fortis and Destiny World projects which was designed to show the Ethereum Virtual Machine's (EVM) capabilities of the Telos network's capacity to offer a flat gas price.

Related: $1B science fund seeks blockchain projects to expand human lifespan

Polymath adds new security tokens

Polymath is a decentralized protocol that operates on the Ethereum (ETH) network and focuses on the developing technology that allows for the creation, issuance and management of digital securities on the blockchain.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that after hitting a low of $0.51 on Sept. 29, the price of POLY has rallied 51.58% to a daily high at $0.772 on Sept. 30 as its 24-hour trading volume spiked from an average of $21 million to $544 million.

POLY/USDT 4-hour chart. Source: TradingView

The spike in price and trading volume for POLY come as the developers behind the protocol continue to update and expand the network’s capabilities while new projects such as RedSwan and its commercial real estate marketplace launch on the Polymath network.

The overall cryptocurrency market cap now stands at $1.91 trillion and Bitcoin’s dominance rate is 42.7%.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.



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Ethereum bears look to score on Friday’s $340M weekly ETH options expiry

Derivatives data shows bears have sufficient incentives to keep ETH price below $3,000 heading into Friday’s $340 million options expiry.

Ether (ETH) price has seen quite a bit of volatility lately and to the surprise of many traders, the $4,000 level continues to present considerable resistance. Currently, the price is respecting the upward channel which started in August but every time the support is tested, the risk of an aggressive correction increases. With that in mind, this Friday's $340 million options expiry will likely be dominated by neutral-to-bearish put options. 

Ether price at Bitstamp in USD. Source: TradingView

Bulls placed larger bets for the expiry but it appears that they were too optimistic for Oct. 1, so their $215 million call (buy) options are getting closer to becoming with the looming approach of the expiry date.

It’s possible that Ether could be a victim of its own success because the demand for decentralized finance (DeFi) applications and the minting of non-fungible tokens (NFT) continue to clog the network. This has caused the average gas fee to surpass $20 over the past ten days.

Largest gas spenders past 24 hours. Source: etherscan.io

Notice above how OpenSea, the largest NFT marketplace, represents over 20% of the entire Ethereum network’s gas use in the past 24 hours.

When analyzing the incredible demand for blockchain transactions, Polygon's co-founder, Sandeep Nailwal, says it is a matter of time before Ethereum overtakes Bitcoin as the dominant layer-1 protocol.

However, negative news continues to emerge as the fourth-largest Ethereum mining pool will shut down operations in China, citing "regulatory policies." Furthermore, SparkPool, the second-largest Ether mining pool, will also cease operations this month.

As for the $340 million options expiry on Friday, bulls need to push the price above $3,000 to avoid significant bearish pressure.

Ethereum options aggregate open interest for Oct. 1. Source: Bybt.com

As noted above, bulls were caught by surprise because the call (buy) instruments were placed at $2,900 or higher. Consequently, if Ether remains below that price on Sept. 17, only $1.4 million worth of neutral-to-bullish call options will be activated on the expiry.

This means that a $3,000 put option becomes worthless if Ether remains below that price at 8:00 am UTC on Oct. 1.

Bulls placed more bets, but there's a catch

The 1.74 call-to-put ratio represents the slight difference between the $215 million worth of call (buy) options versus the $125 million put (sell) options. Although favoring bulls, this broader view needs a more detailed analysis because some of those bets are implausible considering the current $2,800 price.

Below are the four most likely scenarios for Ether price. The imbalance favoring either side represents the theoretical profit from the expiry.

Depending on the expiry price, the quantity of calls (buy) and puts (sell) contracts becoming active varies:

  • Between $2,400 and $2,500: 0 calls vs. 38,050 puts. The net result is $95 million favoring the protective put (bear) instruments.
  • Between $2,500 and $2,800: 100 calls vs. 22,300 puts. The net result is $60 million favoring the protective put (bear) instruments.
  • Between $2,800 and $3,000: 2,300 calls vs. 13,800 puts. The net result is $33 million favoring the protective put (bear) instruments.
  • Between $3,000 and $3,200: 9,600 calls vs. 6,700 puts. The net result is balanced between bears and bulls.

This raw estimate considers call options being exclusively used in bullish strategies and put options in neutral-to-bearish trades. However, investors might have used more complex strategies that typically involve different expiry dates.

Bulls are wrecked one way or another

Bears have absolute control of Friday's expiry and they have sufficient incentive to keep pressuring the price below $2,800. However, one must consider that during negative price trends, like now for Ether, a seller might cause a 2% negative move by placing large offers and making aggressive sales.

On the other hand, bulls need a 7% positive price swing taking Ether above $3,000 to balance Friday's options expiry. It is impossible to calculate how much a trader needs to spend to drive the market that way, although it seems a colossal task.

If no surprises come before Oct. 1, Ether's price should keep trading below $2,800.

The views and opinions expressed here are solely those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of Cointelegraph.com. Every investment and trading move involves risk, you should conduct your own research when making a decision.



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Bitcoin Depot’s crypto ATMs surpass 5,000 as adoption grows

Bitcoin ATMs are becoming increasingly ubiquitous, especially in North America, offering compelling evidence of growing adoption.

Bitcoin Depot’s cryptocurrency ATM network continues to expand, with North American installations surpassing 5,000 for the first time amid a surge in retail adoption. 

With the milestone, Bitcoin Depot is once again the largest ATM network in North America, the company announced Thursday. The number of kiosks has tripled in the last six months, giving more users access to cryptocurrency transactions without requiring a bank or other third-party financial services provider.

Bitcoin Depot’s partnership with Circle K convenience stores has been a major source of growth for their crypto kiosks. As Cointelegraph reported, the two companies announced in July that the convenience store chain will be home to thousands of Bitcoin ATM machines.

The growth of crypto kiosks is viewed by many as a proxy for the retail adoption of Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital assets. Crypto ATM installations have surged in El Salvador, where Bitcoin recently became legal tender, giving people an easier way to transact in BTC or convert it to fiat.

Salvadorans are also making use of their government-backed Chivo cryptocurrency wallet. According to President Nayib Bukele, more than a third of the country’s residents are “actively” using Chivo.

Related: El Salvador ranks third in global Bitcoin ATM installations, data finds

Nevertheless, the growth of Bitcoin ATMs isn’t without risk. Kraken Security Labs, the security outfit of the popular cryptocurrency exchange, warned earlier this week that a “large number” of Bitcoin ATMs are susceptible to being hacked because administrators never changed the default admin QR code. The security team said that if hackers are able to obtain the admin code, they can essentially “walk up to an ATM and compromise it.”



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BTC holds crucial support at $40K! | Watch The Market Report with Gareth Soloway

“The Market Report” with Cointelegraph is live right now with special guest Gareth Soloway, an experienced swing and day trader.

Join Cointelegraph host and analyst Benton Yaun alongside resident market experts Jordan Finneseth and Marcel Pechman on “The Market Report” — which is live right now! Here’s what to expect in this week’s markets news breakdown:

Next, trader Gareth Soloway joins the show to discuss the recent correlation between BTC and the stock market, his sentiments toward the current market situation, and his analysis of BTC price action.

Cointelegraph market analyst Pechman then gives a detailed explanation of hash rates, which are the measure of the processing power behind a network’s mining. What does 100 exahashes per second actually mean, and how does Bitcoin compare to other networks?

Using insights from Cointelegraph Markets Pro, a platform for crypto traders who want to stay one step ahead of the market, the Cointelegraph experts identify two altcoins that stood out this week: CELO and RGT.

Then it’s on to the show’s second expert take, this one from Cointelegraph market analyst Finneseth. He gives his insights on how the China ban will impact decentralized exchanges and the decentralized finance (DeFi) ecosystem.

Last is the interactive Q&A segment of the show. If you have a crypto-related question and can’t find the answer, then this segment is for you! Simply write your question in the chat, and the Cointelegraph experts will break it down for you!

“The Market Report” streams live every Thursday at 4:00 pm UTC, so be sure to head on over to Cointelegraph’s YouTube page, and smash that like and subscribe button for all our future videos and updates.



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Binance hires former IRS-CI special agent to head intelligence division

Regulatory scrutiny from around the world has forced the cryptocurrency exchange to up its compliance and auditing measures.

Cryptocurrency exchange Binance has hired a former United States Internal Revenue Service agent to head its new intelligence division, a strong indication that the company is looking to bolster its compliance resources.

Tigran Gambaryan joins Binance as vice president of global intelligence and investigations, the company announced Thursday. Binance is Gambaryan’s first private-sector employer since he joined the IRS as a special agent in September 2011.

During his time at the IRS, Gambaryan investigated cases involving national security, terrorism financing, tax evasion and identity theft. He was also involved in the investigation of Silk Road, a dark web marketplace that facilitated some of the earliest cryptocurrency transactions. Silk Road was shut down by the FBI in October 2013, with founder Ross Ulbricht arrested and eventually sentenced to a double life sentence plus 40 years with no possibility of parole.

At Binance, Gambaryan will be tasked with conducting internal and external investigations “to prevent threats and financial losses.” The audit and investigations team will also work closely with law enforcement agencies and regulators.

Binance appears to be stepping up its compliance measures in response to regulatory upheaval from around the globe. The exchange has been forced to suspend operations and trading services in several markets, including Japan, the United Kingdom, Germany and the Canadian province of Ontario, for allegedly failing to comply with local licensing laws.

Related: Binance pushes back against warning from South Africa regulator

More recently, Binance moved to block fiat deposits and spot crypto trading services in Singapore amid regulatory pressures. The exchange also ceased crypto futures and options in Australia.



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Is $40K Bitcoin the new $10K? BTC holds $43K support as exchange Bitfinex halts trading

An unexpected problem causes Bitfinex to temporarily shut down, with Bitcoin price action undoing gains in the process.

Bitcoin (BTC) erased overnight gains on Sept. 30 as sudden problems at major exchange Bitfinex caused a mass outage.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView

Bitfinex investigates mystery shutdown

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD losing $43,000 following the news after hitting local highs above $43,800 on Bitstamp.

With the source of the issue unknown at the time of writing, traders were left in the dark as an already sensitive crypto market fell back towards es

"We are investigating issues with the platform and have to temporarily halt trading," Bitfinex wrote as part of its latest service update.

Tuesday had seen fellow exchange Binance, the largest by volume in the world, suspend trading for two hours as part of scheduled maintenance, this having no significant impact on BTC price action.

With Thursday already set to be a charged day, however, Bitcoin looked set to close out September almost exactly at its predicted "worst case scenario" price of $43,000.

In so doing, the largest cryptocurrency would once again validate predictions made by stock-to-flow model creator PlanB, who also correctly estimated the August close of $47,000.

Fellow trader and analyst Rekt Capital meanwhile reiterated the need for BTC/USD to reclaim its 21-week exponential moving average level (EMA) by the end of Sunday to preserve overall bullish momentum.

Market mimics $10,000 BTC from September 2020

Meanwhile, the overall character of the Bitcoin market was still far from bearish for most.

Related: Bitcoin breaking new highs in Q4 will ‘temporarily turn alts to dust’ — Analyst

Despite lackluster price action, the odds remain for a dramatic return to form in the coming weeks and months, with comparisons to the same period in 2020.

The latest was from Cole Garner, who noted that the large block of buyer support just below $40,000 was reminiscent of the order book setups when BTC/USD was at $10,000 in September last year.

This week also saw long-time pundit Bobby Lee predict not only $100,000 in the mid term, but as much as $200,000 or more for Bitcoin in a new "FOMO rally."



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